{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5077e683-99f4-4ca6-a5be-f8f509e2f1fb", "symbol": "603725", "name": "Guangdong Tianan New Material Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 60.42, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 16.337, "architecture_energy": 15.536, "architecture_maturity": 76.678, "architecture_confidence": 81.579, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.09, "rotation_up": 25.04, "upward_expansion": 57.8, "deceleration": 85.44, "rotation_down": 37.67, "downward_expansion": 21.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.026, 11.681648, 11.433246, 11.022371 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 10.2, "trend_reference": 10.584303, "distance_from_trend": -0.036309, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.59748, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.186394, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.198542, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.000979, "excess_performance": 0.042224, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.036309, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081908, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.186394, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047607, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.001985, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008738, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.000979, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.799571, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 72757430, "relative_activity": 1.178645, "balance": 0.799571, "dry_up": 1.89864, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.196069, "annualized_volatility": 0.664064, "from_high_reference": -0.311109, "from_low_reference": 0.230398 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.584303, "fair_value_reference": 8.59748, "structural_low": 8.29, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.020982, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": 0.009311, "regime_survival": 0.681818, "best_return": 0.239294, "worst_return": -0.351816, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.021197, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.006582, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.53094, "worst_return": -0.090741, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.076926, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.009282, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.46063, "worst_return": -0.448107, 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11.681648, 11.433246, 11.022371 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }