{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "508b39a4-cf45-496e-ae0b-3eb26d9de810",
    "symbol": "IWFG",
    "name": "NYLI WINSLOW FOCUSED LARGE CAP GROWTH ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 69.857,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 64.995,
    "architecture_energy": 32.967,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.692,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.872,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.1,
        "rotation_up": 38.76,
        "upward_expansion": 67.79,
        "deceleration": 90.2,
        "rotation_down": 25.51,
        "downward_expansion": 8.13
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 55.4076,
    "trend_reference": 51.608003,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.073624,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 45.020188,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.230728,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.733063,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.111074,
    "excess_performance": -0.014551,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073624,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000642,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.230728,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014649,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057331,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019136,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111074,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.460416,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3298,
      "relative_activity": 0.388434,
      "balance": 1.460416,
      "dry_up": 0.377422,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035418,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.211219,
      "from_high_reference": -0.015501,
      "from_low_reference": 0.236531
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 51.608003,
      "fair_value_reference": 45.020188,
      "structural_low": 44.8089,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.029589,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003723,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.007718,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.030358,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015274,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.142645,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.120601,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.101884,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.170639,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.089025,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.928699,
        "energy": 67.999409,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 55.1502,
        "volume": 1428,
        "typical_volume": 7363.3,
        "trend": 51.574893,
        "fair_value": 43.525251,
        "relative_strength": -6.695721,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.00468,
        "energy": 71.146557,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 53.2254,
        "volume": 20986,
        "typical_volume": 8169.25,
        "trend": 51.565607,
        "fair_value": 43.679968,
        "relative_strength": -7.379762,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.709579,
        "energy": 45.057222,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 53.0564,
        "volume": 854,
        "typical_volume": 8198.75,
        "trend": 51.55127,
        "fair_value": 43.828114,
        "relative_strength": -7.935875,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.251455,
        "energy": 38.396286,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 55.355,
        "volume": 8147,
        "typical_volume": 8510.45,
        "trend": 51.669573,
        "fair_value": 43.992685,
        "relative_strength": -4.611939,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.783325,
        "energy": 54.187263,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 52.2347,
        "volume": 4347,
        "typical_volume": 8670.15,
        "trend": 51.60858,
        "fair_value": 44.132386,
        "relative_strength": -7.498776,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.293744,
        "energy": 31.220981,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 53.1256,
        "volume": 2744,
        "typical_volume": 8785.8,
        "trend": 51.573933,
        "fair_value": 44.281248,
        "relative_strength": -7.616247,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.919323,
        "energy": 27.417284,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 54.5848,
        "volume": 3505,
        "typical_volume": 8806.7,
        "trend": 51.62537,
        "fair_value": 44.432596,
        "relative_strength": -6.08374,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.498419,
        "energy": 35.725507,
        "activity_lines": [
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          52.018656
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 52.9257,
        "volume": 7464,
        "typical_volume": 8552.55,
        "trend": 51.612157,
        "fair_value": 44.574089,
        "relative_strength": -7.201391,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.184336,
        "energy": 22.265947,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.477927,
          53.609515,
          52.91549,
          52.102548
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 52.3057,
        "volume": 1313,
        "typical_volume": 8345.65,
        "trend": 51.5498,
        "fair_value": 44.710337,
        "relative_strength": -7.443095,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.361027,
        "energy": 20.090968,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.03144,
          53.349216,
          52.978938,
          52.147293
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 53.172,
        "volume": 743,
        "typical_volume": 8333.65,
        "trend": 51.551963,
        "fair_value": 44.857241,
        "relative_strength": -6.631235,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.947076,
        "energy": 18.771059,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.077007,
          53.274324,
          53.108132,
          52.251951
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 55.4076,
        "volume": 3298,
        "typical_volume": 8490.5,
        "trend": 51.608003,
        "fair_value": 45.020188,
        "relative_strength": -5.733063,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.994773,
        "energy": 32.966553,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.805287,
          53.618696,
          53.424353,
          52.500702
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}