{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "50a5f9b3-dd5f-45ff-a1a7-8a682772be46",
    "symbol": "01001T",
    "name": "Fubon No.1 Real Estate Investment Trust",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 57.672,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -45.159,
    "architecture_energy": 73.574,
    "architecture_maturity": 5.046,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.572,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.97,
        "rotation_up": 16.06,
        "upward_expansion": 24.96,
        "deceleration": 43.01,
        "rotation_down": 76.39,
        "downward_expansion": 66.63
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.37,
        11.443455,
        11.508508,
        11.514777
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 11.35,
    "trend_reference": 11.50044,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.013081,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.496826,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.091769,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -29.254185,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.00609,
    "excess_performance": -0.385402,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013081,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001442,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.091769,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016037,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.292542,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060418,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00609,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.131753,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 166000,
      "relative_activity": 0.527224,
      "balance": 0.131753,
      "dry_up": 1.746031,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.007726,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.035774,
      "from_high_reference": -0.068308,
      "from_low_reference": 0.032305
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.50044,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.496826,
      "structural_low": 11.197524,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.026236,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.039628,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.007885,
        "worst_return": -0.044586,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.010064,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018924,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.005791,
        "worst_return": -0.014337,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.04559,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029593,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.044586,
        "worst_return": -0.046595,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.093395,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.133208,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.075535,
        "worst_return": -0.111254,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.005405,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006102,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.020786,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.013049,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.020979,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003584,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.072952,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.011245,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.010187,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.004184,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.009394,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.012027,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.004382,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-04",
        "close": 13.391165,
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        "typical_volume": 400866.25,
        "trend": 13.764364,
        "fair_value": 14.966624,
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 11.525726,
        "volume": 238000,
        "typical_volume": 595789.0,
        "trend": 11.580105,
        "fair_value": 12.71392,
        "relative_strength": -30.962535,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -0.516583,
        "energy": 10.154564,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 569039.0,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 581185.0,
        "trend": 11.542136,
        "fair_value": 12.683763,
        "relative_strength": -32.51406,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 24.844353,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 1559050,
        "typical_volume": 565037.5,
        "trend": 11.531547,
        "fair_value": 12.669487,
        "relative_strength": -35.296031,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.551123,
        "energy": 37.30824,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 11.55,
        "volume": 467000,
        "typical_volume": 477237.5,
        "trend": 11.513372,
        "fair_value": 12.653719,
        "relative_strength": -34.619056,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.5416,
        "energy": 24.402224,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 11.59,
        "volume": 247050,
        "typical_volume": 446740.0,
        "trend": 11.497817,
        "fair_value": 12.640074,
        "relative_strength": -35.244768,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 25.909957,
        "energy": 23.754506,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 400491.9,
        "trend": 11.483883,
        "fair_value": 12.626784,
        "relative_strength": -37.885782,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.865217,
        "energy": 31.35814,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 11.64,
        "volume": 3000,
        "typical_volume": 391841.9,
        "trend": 11.473212,
        "fair_value": 12.613635,
        "relative_strength": -37.217233,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.261585,
        "energy": 28.890796,
        "activity_lines": [
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          11.505194
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 11.63,
        "volume": 4000,
        "typical_volume": 358841.9,
        "trend": 11.458347,
        "fair_value": 12.600712,
        "relative_strength": -35.066087,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.894708,
        "energy": 31.531334,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 72000,
        "typical_volume": 330791.9,
        "trend": 11.449918,
        "fair_value": 12.588081,
        "relative_strength": -37.369974,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.521818,
        "energy": 31.885739,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 11.6,
        "volume": 22000,
        "typical_volume": 314706.9,
        "trend": 11.457542,
        "fair_value": 12.575492,
        "relative_strength": -33.937393,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.70332,
        "energy": 29.048576,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.619333,
          11.614049,
          11.58379,
          11.536067
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 11.56,
        "volume": 5000,
        "typical_volume": 296306.9,
        "trend": 11.465441,
        "fair_value": 12.563403,
        "relative_strength": -36.357378,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.185849,
        "energy": 19.982077,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.599333,
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          11.584706,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 11.5,
        "volume": 240000,
        "typical_volume": 293656.9,
        "trend": 11.472628,
        "fair_value": 12.550231,
        "relative_strength": -33.756335,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.079712,
        "energy": 12.265972,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.562,
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          11.5791,
          11.544906
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 11.41,
        "volume": 409000,
        "typical_volume": 276906.9,
        "trend": 11.481963,
        "fair_value": 12.536948,
        "relative_strength": -29.188013,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -3.188417,
        "energy": 13.488871,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.504,
          11.550909,
          11.56477,
          11.540866
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.36,
        "volume": 702000,
        "typical_volume": 284756.9,
        "trend": 11.487379,
        "fair_value": 12.523461,
        "relative_strength": -30.166742,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.823921,
        "energy": 34.425041,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.444,
          11.512545,
          11.545953,
          11.532997
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.35,
        "volume": 922000,
        "typical_volume": 317856.9,
        "trend": 11.495036,
        "fair_value": 12.509969,
        "relative_strength": -28.419341,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -33.526305,
        "energy": 56.511924,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.398667,
          11.475818,
          11.526789,
          11.524134
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.35,
        "volume": 166000,
        "typical_volume": 314856.9,
        "trend": 11.50044,
        "fair_value": 12.496826,
        "relative_strength": -29.254185,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -45.159023,
        "energy": 73.574026,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.37,
          11.443455,
          11.508508,
          11.514777
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}