{ "ticker": { "uuid": "50a7e8cc-cd56-41ac-bb31-7fe8f54a4abd", "symbol": "GSS", "name": "GSS Infotech Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 61.704, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -19.786, "architecture_energy": 12.473, "architecture_maturity": 25.282, "architecture_confidence": 81.651, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.44, "rotation_up": 23.96, "upward_expansion": 14.63, "deceleration": 39.43, "rotation_down": 36.16, "downward_expansion": 64.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.92, 12.812909, 13.093238, 13.17471 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 14.01, "trend_reference": 13.483667, "distance_from_trend": 0.039035, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 75.020449, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.813251, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -19.11468, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.09085, "excess_performance": -0.047141, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.039035, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127346, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.813251, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031537, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.191147, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.173805, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.09085, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.729527, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 597379, "relative_activity": 2.453139, "balance": 1.729527, "dry_up": 1.009841, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078296, "annualized_volatility": 0.713107, "from_high_reference": -0.587577, "from_low_reference": 0.614055 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.483667, "fair_value_reference": 75.020449, "structural_low": 8.68, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.070924, "positive_rate": 0.277778, "directional_follow_through": 0.722222, "median_excess_return": -0.072568, "regime_survival": 0.944444, "best_return": 0.413103, "worst_return": -0.269767, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.201231, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.218164, "regime_survival": 0.916667, "best_return": 0.057092, "worst_return": -0.415251, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.421656, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.42611, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.085151, "worst_return": -0.526703, "sufficient": true }, { 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"energy": 40.521837, "activity_lines": [ 12.890667, 13.083091, 13.289143, 13.540645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 12.5, "volume": 43283, "typical_volume": 253766.15, "trend": 13.958333, "fair_value": 79.452756, "relative_strength": -31.938522, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.387972, "energy": 40.932995, "activity_lines": [ 12.766, 12.942909, 13.216476, 13.434667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.32, "volume": 45418, "typical_volume": 242672.0, "trend": 13.829333, "fair_value": 78.389744, "relative_strength": -31.901778, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.520048, "energy": 48.148033, "activity_lines": [ 12.618667, 12.793455, 13.13881, 13.328968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.11, "volume": 154789, "typical_volume": 244792.75, "trend": 13.700667, "fair_value": 77.30391, "relative_strength": -30.111172, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.898312, "energy": 54.049982, "activity_lines": [ 12.403333, 12.634545, 13.046714, 13.218043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.57, "volume": 186064, "typical_volume": 232811.85, "trend": 13.551, "fair_value": 76.159487, "relative_strength": -27.911185, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.103358, "energy": 48.959201, "activity_lines": [ 12.401333, 12.581273, 13.003095, 13.145097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.01, "volume": 597379, "typical_volume": 243516.15, "trend": 13.483667, "fair_value": 75.020449, "relative_strength": -19.11468, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.786458, "energy": 12.4731, "activity_lines": [ 12.92, 12.812909, 13.093238, 13.17471 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }