{ "ticker": { "uuid": "50c21561-39fa-452a-aa64-ba03f9974f7d", "symbol": "002597", "name": "Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 80.024, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.976, "architecture_energy": 34.488, "architecture_maturity": 26.116, "architecture_confidence": 91.726, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.62, "rotation_up": 20.72, "upward_expansion": 3.94, "deceleration": 53.28, "rotation_down": 50.12, "downward_expansion": 77.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.994667, 20.175818, 20.830546, 21.560418 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 20.25, "trend_reference": 22.319708, "distance_from_trend": -0.09273, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.552273, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.060424, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.518412, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.139026, "excess_performance": -0.146426, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.09273, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001489, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.060424, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.137383, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.105184, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060294, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.139026, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.978862, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37035599, "relative_activity": 1.016236, "balance": 0.978862, "dry_up": 1.073063, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107041, "annualized_volatility": 0.527492, "from_high_reference": -0.300735, "from_low_reference": 0.099349 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.319708, "fair_value_reference": 21.552273, "structural_low": 18.42, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.000934, "positive_rate": 0.517241, "directional_follow_through": 0.482759, "median_excess_return": 0.000851, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.206203, "worst_return": -0.140433, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.011129, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.016412, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.200624, "worst_return": -0.227692, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.028575, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.077082, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.243179, "worst_return": -0.27915, "sufficient": true }, { 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22.20548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.690001, "volume": 29958938, "typical_volume": 39096204.65, "trend": 22.413505, "fair_value": 21.592544, "relative_strength": -11.092783, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.447661, "energy": 52.764682, "activity_lines": [ 20.131334, 20.502952, 21.374799, 22.029843 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.540001, "volume": 31852225, "typical_volume": 37200950.5, "trend": 22.342288, "fair_value": 21.578469, "relative_strength": -16.013913, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.250704, "energy": 67.596412, "activity_lines": [ 19.510667, 20.074364, 21.02848, 21.779939 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.02, "volume": 57579663, "typical_volume": 37085989.7, "trend": 22.330291, "fair_value": 21.569209, "relative_strength": -2.83695, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.567811, "energy": 44.363019, "activity_lines": [ 19.874, 20.201819, 20.956028, 21.694631 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.25, "volume": 37035599, "typical_volume": 36443899.0, "trend": 22.319708, "fair_value": 21.552273, "relative_strength": -10.518412, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.975615, "energy": 34.488142, "activity_lines": [ 19.994667, 20.175818, 20.830546, 21.560418 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }