{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "50d14756-dd0f-434b-9d95-0b5721cc6d60",
    "symbol": "ALKS",
    "name": "Alkermes Plc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 51.612,
    "architecture_energy": 50.263,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.57,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.08,
        "rotation_up": 45.26,
        "upward_expansion": 70.75,
        "deceleration": 65.49,
        "rotation_down": 27.21,
        "downward_expansion": 20.75
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        42.834258
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 49.17,
    "trend_reference": 38.715333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.270039,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.334744,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.620914,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 25.207933,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.408479,
    "excess_performance": 0.221025,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.270039,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.213621,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.620914,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.411209,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.252079,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.290915,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.408479,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.570133,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7653429,
      "relative_activity": 0.69811,
      "balance": 2.570133,
      "dry_up": 0.803123,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.086558,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.487886,
      "from_high_reference": -0.116759,
      "from_low_reference": 0.953904
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.715333,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.334744,
      "structural_low": 27.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": -0.021347,
        "positive_rate": 0.357143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.357143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004377,
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        "worst_return": -0.258171,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.242587,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.187082,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 11367676.4,
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        "fair_value": 29.907436,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 11168326.45,
        "trend": 37.374,
        "fair_value": 30.062115,
        "relative_strength": 44.593082,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 48.99,
        "volume": 12356378,
        "typical_volume": 11204579.8,
        "trend": 38.065,
        "fair_value": 30.199231,
        "relative_strength": 32.101584,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.391717,
        "energy": 61.935437,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 49.17,
        "volume": 7653429,
        "typical_volume": 10963063.05,
        "trend": 38.715333,
        "fair_value": 30.334744,
        "relative_strength": 25.207933,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.612493,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}