{ "ticker": { "uuid": "50e8f675-9361-4c22-aba5-e8848bb492bc", "symbol": "MB", "name": "Mediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario S.p.A.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.244, "architecture_energy": 73.1, "architecture_maturity": 67.388, "architecture_confidence": 93.193, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.69, "rotation_up": 68.62, "upward_expansion": 90.0, "deceleration": 56.44, "rotation_down": 26.57, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.983334, 27.306364, 25.079032, 23.136498 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 28.620001, "trend_reference": 20.89439, "distance_from_trend": 0.369746, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.954897, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.913754, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 22.324934, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.57768, "excess_performance": 0.403433, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.369746, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.186997, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.913754, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.40885, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.223249, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.245604, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.57768, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 0.670921, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041472, "annualized_volatility": 0.4869, "from_high_reference": -0.010373, "from_low_reference": 0.941361 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.89439, "fair_value_reference": 14.954897, "structural_low": 14.742239, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of 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20.613183, 19.596722 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 25.92, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 96.05, "trend": 18.759487, "fair_value": 14.233305, "relative_strength": 16.217902, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.114117, "energy": 93.87468, "activity_lines": [ 25.178667, 23.539545, 21.248483, 20.079341 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 26.65, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 96.05, "trend": 19.118922, "fair_value": 14.351467, "relative_strength": 16.506064, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.656445, "energy": 93.795285, "activity_lines": [ 25.936667, 24.327273, 21.916262, 20.588406 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 27.219999, "volume": 589, "typical_volume": 125.5, "trend": 19.477966, "fair_value": 14.470627, "relative_strength": 20.216955, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.516658, "energy": 93.306585, "activity_lines": [ 26.589333, 25.092, 22.59365, 21.111056 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 26.92, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 125.5, "trend": 19.813437, "fair_value": 14.586888, "relative_strength": 20.881447, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.081731, "energy": 90.092631, "activity_lines": [ 26.773333, 25.663454, 23.203501, 21.591187 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.809999, "volume": 389, "typical_volume": 144.95, "trend": 20.176473, "fair_value": 14.706954, "relative_strength": 22.799207, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.688245, "energy": 89.181082, "activity_lines": [ 27.173999, 26.278, 23.85647, 22.107095 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.040001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 144.95, "trend": 20.527785, "fair_value": 14.828664, "relative_strength": 23.543353, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.590369, "energy": 75.59136, "activity_lines": [ 27.552667, 26.803091, 24.470085, 22.614419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.620001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 144.95, "trend": 20.89439, "fair_value": 14.954897, "relative_strength": 22.324934, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.243828, "energy": 73.099509, "activity_lines": [ 27.983334, 27.306364, 25.079032, 23.136498 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }