{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "50ee0de0-4b61-4b61-88d2-3d42976e137e",
    "symbol": "AMCR",
    "name": "Amcor PLC",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 54.828,
    "architecture_energy": 63.118,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.414,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.128,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.34,
        "rotation_up": 72.34,
        "upward_expansion": 61.72,
        "deceleration": 23.48,
        "rotation_down": 18.77,
        "downward_expansion": 20.06
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        45.566667,
        44.458,
        42.270051,
        41.832131
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 47.86,
    "trend_reference": 41.884222,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.142674,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 42.883812,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.116039,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.813261,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.023466,
    "excess_performance": -0.102159,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.142674,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021146,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116039,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.200954,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038133,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.200912,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023466,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.321518,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15424051,
      "relative_activity": 0.799187,
      "balance": 3.321518,
      "dry_up": 0.959321,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.057927,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.345085,
      "from_high_reference": -0.032188,
      "from_low_reference": 0.34214
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 41.884222,
      "fair_value_reference": 42.883812,
      "structural_low": 35.659461,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.002208,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008343,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.109035,
        "worst_return": -0.105749,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.122223,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.132972,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.063995,
        "worst_return": -0.151433,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.008973,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.127293,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.064849,
        "worst_return": -0.171983,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.028829,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.230174,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.108487,
        "worst_return": -0.180283,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.056701,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.088933,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
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        "return": -0.001098,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.185776,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-05-08",
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        "return": 0.043103,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "relative_strength": -1.922097,
        "stage": 1,
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        "direction": 28.315645,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 22038809.8,
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        "relative_strength": 0.404354,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.88,
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        "typical_volume": 21801785.65,
        "trend": 41.688436,
        "fair_value": 42.84096,
        "relative_strength": 0.432037,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.498323,
        "energy": 43.752029,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 47.86,
        "volume": 15424051,
        "typical_volume": 19299680.35,
        "trend": 41.884222,
        "fair_value": 42.883812,
        "relative_strength": 3.813261,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 54.828133,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}