{ "ticker": { "uuid": "50ef2cb5-efd8-4991-9058-19dfda191874", "symbol": "EGAN", "name": "eGain Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.842, "architecture_energy": 27.916, "architecture_maturity": 77.579, "architecture_confidence": 86.687, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.94, "rotation_up": 25.36, "upward_expansion": 14.45, "deceleration": 45.71, "rotation_down": 40.65, "downward_expansion": 66.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.858, 6.809273, 6.979333, 7.333118 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.33, "trend_reference": 7.984333, "distance_from_trend": -0.081952, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.07609, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.035883, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.204451, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.267, "excess_performance": -0.454454, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.081952, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.147792, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.035883, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014617, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.292045, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007784, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.267, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.439835, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 586064, "relative_activity": 0.536829, "balance": 1.439835, "dry_up": 0.628667, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098605, "annualized_volatility": 0.466999, "from_high_reference": -0.540439, "from_low_reference": 0.332727 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.984333, "fair_value_reference": 7.07609, "structural_low": 5.939, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.022573, "positive_rate": 0.612903, "directional_follow_through": 0.387097, "median_excess_return": 0.024251, "regime_survival": 0.774194, "best_return": 0.234208, "worst_return": -0.193157, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.092733, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.056509, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.306368, "worst_return": -0.189679, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.047097, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.049151, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 1.917172, "worst_return": -0.2336, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.060729, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.199566, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.06308, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.090301, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.010309, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.085142, "active": false }, { 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-34.628413, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.641095, "energy": 64.517302, "activity_lines": [ 6.505333, 6.746727, 7.014, 7.473634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.82, "volume": 692593, "typical_volume": 1098089.85, "trend": 8.105667, "fair_value": 7.075513, "relative_strength": -30.768347, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.176341, "energy": 43.540118, "activity_lines": [ 6.608, 6.73, 6.967762, 7.383161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.33, "volume": 586064, "typical_volume": 1091713.85, "trend": 7.984333, "fair_value": 7.07609, "relative_strength": -29.204451, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.842492, "energy": 27.915924, "activity_lines": [ 6.858, 6.809273, 6.979333, 7.333118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }