{ "ticker": { "uuid": "50fc5c08-6d65-4ed0-8013-1575cb50b025", "symbol": "COLOR", "name": "Salee Colour Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 61.808, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -6.093, "architecture_energy": 5.229, "architecture_maturity": 13.246, "architecture_confidence": 39.664, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.43, "rotation_up": 22.2, "upward_expansion": 12.62, "deceleration": 64.09, "rotation_down": 38.91, "downward_expansion": 37.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.999333, 1.002, 1.005301, 1.002233 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.0, "trend_reference": 0.999783, "distance_from_trend": 0.000217, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.085055, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.078387, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.640789, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": -0.192325, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.000217, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00168, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.078387, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031864, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.136408, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007759, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 12.178055, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25600, "relative_activity": 0.109437, "balance": 12.178055, "dry_up": 0.410174, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052308, "annualized_volatility": 0.098541, "from_high_reference": -0.090909, "from_low_reference": 0.25 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.999783, "fair_value_reference": 1.085055, "structural_low": 0.8, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.009616, "positive_rate": 0.387097, "directional_follow_through": 0.387097, "median_excess_return": -0.013203, "regime_survival": 0.709677, "best_return": 0.037038, "worst_return": -0.082707, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.000463, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.069693, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.036698, "worst_return": -0.178904, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.055046, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.057339, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.009999, "worst_return": -0.154023, 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.009434, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.039216, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.038095, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.009804, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "New", 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1.001725, "fair_value": 1.092611, "relative_strength": -15.747668, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.614742, "energy": 14.564923, "activity_lines": [ 1.004, 1.010364, 1.005687, 1.002637 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.01, "volume": 80900, "typical_volume": 235985.0, "trend": 1.002705, "fair_value": 1.090902, "relative_strength": -15.358355, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.168205, "energy": 12.770674, "activity_lines": [ 1.004667, 1.010182, 1.00667, 1.003171 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.99, "volume": 41500, "typical_volume": 221875.0, "trend": 1.001401, "fair_value": 1.089007, "relative_strength": -16.805255, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.526541, "energy": 7.019069, "activity_lines": [ 1.0, 1.006, 1.005655, 1.002351 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.0, "volume": 235800, "typical_volume": 233280.0, "trend": 1.00043, "fair_value": 1.087002, "relative_strength": -14.604136, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.978861, "energy": 5.60176, "activity_lines": [ 0.999333, 1.003818, 1.005547, 1.002261 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.0, "volume": 25600, "typical_volume": 233925.0, "trend": 0.999783, "fair_value": 1.085055, "relative_strength": -13.640789, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.092671, "energy": 5.229067, "activity_lines": [ 0.999333, 1.002, 1.005301, 1.002233 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }