{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "50fd23d0-0e7a-4086-877c-3bfdac007c62",
    "symbol": "600722",
    "name": "HeBei Jinniu Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 3.582,
    "architecture_energy": 19.8,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.107,
    "architecture_confidence": 45.893,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.49,
        "rotation_up": 50.73,
        "upward_expansion": 30.3,
        "deceleration": 47.32,
        "rotation_down": 19.46,
        "downward_expansion": 30.3
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.616667,
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        10.457571,
        11.093634
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 11.38,
    "trend_reference": 11.088,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.026335,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.22359,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.828527,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 26.142271,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.303551,
    "excess_performance": 0.346755,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026335,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112546,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.828527,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.572296,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.261423,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.334068,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.303551,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.971479,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 493091557,
      "relative_activity": 1.680031,
      "balance": 0.971479,
      "dry_up": 1.454971,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.13012,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.949934,
      "from_high_reference": -0.431568,
      "from_low_reference": 0.996491
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.088,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.22359,
      "structural_low": 7.3,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.034146,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.051065,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.094463,
        "worst_return": -0.240999,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.002698,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.063548,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.29148,
        "worst_return": -0.210874,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.278071,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.16495,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.148976,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.052752,
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        "best_return": 0.247672,
        "worst_return": 0.247672,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.072954,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 75.409784,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.43,
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        "typical_volume": 333666758.05,
        "trend": 10.748333,
        "fair_value": 6.144744,
        "relative_strength": 33.444492,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -15.973312,
        "energy": 29.458527,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.74,
        "volume": 323444474,
        "typical_volume": 308574144.3,
        "trend": 10.906667,
        "fair_value": 6.182051,
        "relative_strength": 23.645313,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -13.733346,
        "energy": 15.89327,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.96,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.38,
        "volume": 493091557,
        "typical_volume": 293501408.45,
        "trend": 11.088,
        "fair_value": 6.22359,
        "relative_strength": 26.142271,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 3.582423,
        "energy": 19.799946,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}