{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5104189f-9373-4e0b-b4e2-84be10a761e3",
    "symbol": "BAY",
    "name": "Bank of Ayudhya Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 52.59,
    "architecture_energy": 54.407,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.054,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.04,
        "rotation_up": 46.42,
        "upward_expansion": 72.18,
        "deceleration": 65.5,
        "rotation_down": 27.44,
        "downward_expansion": 22.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        35.078619
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 41.5,
    "trend_reference": 31.286316,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.326459,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 25.054284,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.656403,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 30.41449,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.697159,
    "excess_performance": 0.504834,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.326459,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.227147,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.656403,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.495406,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.304145,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.272732,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.697159,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.93218,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13130400,
      "relative_activity": 1.763672,
      "balance": 1.93218,
      "dry_up": 1.957066,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.079703,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.395791,
      "from_high_reference": -0.126316,
      "from_low_reference": 0.894765
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.286316,
      "fair_value_reference": 25.054284,
      "structural_low": 23.338947,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": 0.022658,
        "positive_rate": 0.722222,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.722222,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009721,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.268116,
        "worst_return": -0.053435,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.08263,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.009039,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.051339,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.259982,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 5699290.0,
        "trend": 29.663333,
        "fair_value": 24.808266,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 72.250643,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.283333,
          41.290909,
          35.929524,
          32.959479
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 41.5,
        "volume": 23268100,
        "typical_volume": 6582015.0,
        "trend": 30.239649,
        "fair_value": 24.893841,
        "relative_strength": 30.096177,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.374377,
        "energy": 68.391446,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.833333,
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          36.838672,
          33.723135
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 40.5,
        "volume": 7974400,
        "typical_volume": 6837010.0,
        "trend": 30.750351,
        "fair_value": 24.971574,
        "relative_strength": 27.458912,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.033486,
        "energy": 65.650529,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.85,
          42.022727,
          37.570251,
          34.385093
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.5,
        "volume": 13130400,
        "typical_volume": 7444920.0,
        "trend": 31.286316,
        "fair_value": 25.054284,
        "relative_strength": 30.41449,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.589909,
        "energy": 54.406982,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.083333,
          42.159091,
          38.320652,
          35.078619
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}