{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "510a2bc5-0a50-4b8c-8a90-2bb71396d334",
    "symbol": "IGLB",
    "name": "ISHARES TRUST 10+ YR INVESTMENT GRADE CORPORATE BD ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 70.66,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -62.767,
    "architecture_energy": 74.164,
    "architecture_maturity": 5.786,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.53,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.46,
        "rotation_up": 8.33,
        "upward_expansion": 16.86,
        "deceleration": 37.03,
        "rotation_down": 74.04,
        "downward_expansion": 90.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        48.128452,
        48.646123,
        48.987208,
        49.105692
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 48.21,
    "trend_reference": 49.310936,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.022326,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 46.907921,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.027758,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.089866,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.032433,
    "excess_performance": -0.158058,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022326,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003238,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027758,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037966,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.130899,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031318,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032433,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.753411,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7420707,
      "relative_activity": 0.902341,
      "balance": 0.753411,
      "dry_up": 1.296635,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01584,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.083948,
      "from_high_reference": -0.050921,
      "from_low_reference": 0.013096
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 49.310936,
      "fair_value_reference": 46.907921,
      "structural_low": 47.586816,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.024467,
        "positive_rate": 0.368421,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.631579,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004792,
        "regime_survival": 0.736842,
        "best_return": 0.133181,
        "worst_return": -0.08229,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.001612,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048736,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.139922,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.013825,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03633,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.174776,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.17216,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-10-18",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022806,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "direction": -55.902555,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "energy": 26.388904,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 8675666.65,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.898752,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 8548815.55,
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        "relative_strength": -9.119175,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 14.558853,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 7753917,
        "typical_volume": 8328106.0,
        "trend": 49.486614,
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        "relative_strength": -8.507622,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -5.494685,
        "energy": 7.103706,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -8.752978,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.402951,
        "energy": 18.409247,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 49.505204,
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        "relative_strength": -5.919372,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.51255,
        "energy": 35.501595,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 49.548441,
        "volume": 12024088,
        "typical_volume": 8296982.1,
        "trend": 49.502858,
        "fair_value": 46.758551,
        "relative_strength": -8.73595,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 15.345532,
        "energy": 31.138653,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 48.751842,
        "volume": 11542293,
        "typical_volume": 8515743.05,
        "trend": 49.490189,
        "fair_value": 46.78928,
        "relative_strength": -11.142549,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.996931,
        "energy": 16.966377,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 48.7618,
        "volume": 9157641,
        "typical_volume": 8583984.45,
        "trend": 49.470795,
        "fair_value": 46.817532,
        "relative_strength": -9.489356,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -44.323387,
        "energy": 25.248223,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.176803,
          49.366011,
          49.339704,
          49.390313
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 47.885541,
        "volume": 6813763,
        "typical_volume": 8363928.8,
        "trend": 49.412086,
        "fair_value": 46.84221,
        "relative_strength": -10.340266,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.905174,
        "energy": 62.1056,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.664031,
          49.098181,
          49.209693,
          49.288039
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 47.736179,
        "volume": 19261171,
        "typical_volume": 8511459.65,
        "trend": 49.360461,
        "fair_value": 46.87241,
        "relative_strength": -11.251313,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.65377,
        "energy": 77.364347,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.237372,
          48.817141,
          49.074225,
          49.179915
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 48.21,
        "volume": 7420707,
        "typical_volume": 8223839.5,
        "trend": 49.310936,
        "fair_value": 46.907921,
        "relative_strength": -13.089866,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.76652,
        "energy": 74.163657,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.128452,
          48.646123,
          48.987208,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}