{ "ticker": { "uuid": "51208b67-c6fe-478c-8b01-ba09c05db408", "symbol": "GROW", "name": "US Global Investors Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.588, "architecture_energy": 23.525, "architecture_maturity": 35.253, "architecture_confidence": 87.98, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.97, "rotation_up": 34.02, "upward_expansion": 61.27, "deceleration": 86.9, "rotation_down": 26.71, "downward_expansion": 15.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.975489, 2.998397, 2.89534, 2.881306 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.1, "trend_reference": 2.880286, "distance_from_trend": 0.076282, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.499299, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.240348, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.9749, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.047091, "excess_performance": -0.140363, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.076282, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077571, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.240348, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.189462, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.009749, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.155045, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.047091, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.574194, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 93542, "relative_activity": 0.72717, "balance": 2.574194, "dry_up": 0.688594, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066293, "annualized_volatility": 0.381785, "from_high_reference": -0.139377, "from_low_reference": 0.417298 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.880286, "fair_value_reference": 2.499299, "structural_low": 2.409556, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.002106, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.010162, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.034975, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.014802, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.078176, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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3.073665, 2.952822, 2.840279, 2.848508 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.95, "volume": 41144, "typical_volume": 126277.15, "trend": 2.825983, "fair_value": 2.496599, "relative_strength": 0.046313, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.742043, "energy": 58.695245, "activity_lines": [ 3.036097, 2.970773, 2.850689, 2.857817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.93, "volume": 85390, "typical_volume": 127035.25, "trend": 2.842645, "fair_value": 2.497254, "relative_strength": 0.969333, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.344871, "energy": 31.740003, "activity_lines": [ 2.991534, 2.978829, 2.860835, 2.864528 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.86, "volume": 134243, "typical_volume": 130573.35, "trend": 2.857302, "fair_value": 2.497076, "relative_strength": -1.975574, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.702304, "energy": 17.60143, "activity_lines": [ 2.934444, 2.968401, 2.86586, 2.865648 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.1, "volume": 93542, "typical_volume": 128638.5, "trend": 2.880286, "fair_value": 2.499299, "relative_strength": 0.9749, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.588406, "energy": 23.524755, "activity_lines": [ 2.975489, 2.998397, 2.89534, 2.881306 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }