{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "512119a1-4e81-40f3-b206-32e16956aec1",
    "symbol": "9924",
    "name": "Taiwan Fu Hsing Industrial Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -77.06,
    "architecture_energy": 70.552,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.686,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.949,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.14,
        "rotation_up": 14.77,
        "upward_expansion": 13.21,
        "deceleration": 42.0,
        "rotation_down": 73.04,
        "downward_expansion": 88.87
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        38.936666,
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        39.919082,
        40.619948
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 38.349998,
    "trend_reference": 41.847219,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.083571,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 50.032102,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.233492,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -41.051081,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.145246,
    "excess_performance": -0.586618,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.083571,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072812,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.233492,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024743,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.410511,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044059,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.145246,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.035748,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1218600,
      "relative_activity": 1.642684,
      "balance": 1.035748,
      "dry_up": 1.577056,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.028385,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.111229,
      "from_high_reference": -0.272696,
      "from_low_reference": 0.007884
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 41.847219,
      "fair_value_reference": 50.032102,
      "structural_low": 38.049999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": -0.003627,
        "positive_rate": 0.47619,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.52381,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015056,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.076227,
        "worst_return": -0.049887,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.004346,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.051527,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.079708,
        "worst_return": -0.119748,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.048234,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.145246,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "best_return": 0.092538,
        "worst_return": -0.135874,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-09-20",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.75,
        "volume": 1581147,
        "typical_volume": 690165.5,
        "trend": 42.487452,
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        "relative_strength": -38.756103,
        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -77.44897,
        "energy": 55.935891,
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          39.6,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.049999,
        "volume": 1071932,
        "typical_volume": 724130.8,
        "trend": 42.144477,
        "fair_value": 50.05981,
        "relative_strength": -38.800053,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.333293,
        "energy": 53.147251,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 38.349998,
        "volume": 1218600,
        "typical_volume": 741834.7,
        "trend": 41.847219,
        "fair_value": 50.032102,
        "relative_strength": -41.051081,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.060392,
        "energy": 70.552208,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}