{ "ticker": { "uuid": "51229ffa-46f3-4724-8b70-ff1674e39cdf", "symbol": "SGM", "name": "Sims Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.527, "architecture_energy": 25.643, "architecture_maturity": 64.427, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.09, "rotation_up": 28.03, "upward_expansion": 56.16, "deceleration": 90.71, "rotation_down": 26.98, "downward_expansion": 19.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.952667, 26.274, 25.521286, 24.281449 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 26.77, "trend_reference": 22.808293, "distance_from_trend": 0.173696, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.151867, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.766779, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 29.076924, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.382321, "excess_performance": 0.318616, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.173696, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.163454, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.766779, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.23813, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.290769, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016932, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.382321, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.572709, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2810727, "relative_activity": 0.868497, "balance": 3.572709, "dry_up": 0.882673, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08415, "annualized_volatility": 0.445783, "from_high_reference": -0.118248, "from_low_reference": 1.085972 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.808293, "fair_value_reference": 15.151867, "structural_low": 16.809999, "invalidation": "A 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26.701636, 24.322916, 23.092406 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 25.469999, "volume": 3200371, "typical_volume": 3550357.2, "trend": 21.787813, "fair_value": 14.854558, "relative_strength": 34.333061, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.544861, "energy": 50.985165, "activity_lines": [ 26.718666, 26.699273, 24.581049, 23.345721 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.700001, "volume": 2652663, "typical_volume": 3504906.05, "trend": 22.014633, "fair_value": 14.919819, "relative_strength": 29.321252, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.71, "energy": 29.928828, "activity_lines": [ 25.797333, 26.481091, 24.747238, 23.533604 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.07, "volume": 2905132, "typical_volume": 3455843.3, "trend": 22.28712, "fair_value": 14.994781, "relative_strength": 35.503942, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.039836, "energy": 27.693286, "activity_lines": [ 25.627333, 26.456546, 25.030191, 23.795241 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.59, "volume": 3057887, "typical_volume": 3424519.85, "trend": 22.536652, "fair_value": 15.068012, "relative_strength": 28.70697, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.84317, "energy": 23.328594, "activity_lines": [ 25.506, 26.279455, 25.236762, 24.00833 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.77, "volume": 2810727, "typical_volume": 3236310.25, "trend": 22.808293, "fair_value": 15.151867, "relative_strength": 29.076924, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.526936, "energy": 25.642964, "activity_lines": [ 25.952667, 26.274, 25.521286, 24.281449 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }