{ "ticker": { "uuid": "512d8bf7-91ea-4227-8bc9-a69df571567e", "symbol": "HALI34", "name": "Halliburton Company", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 81.167, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -80.971, "architecture_energy": 84.701, "architecture_maturity": 21.066, "architecture_confidence": 77.544, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.69, "rotation_up": 9.28, "upward_expansion": 19.3, "deceleration": 37.88, "rotation_down": 80.55, "downward_expansion": 94.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 167.223335, 172.897091, 183.259378, 186.080796 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 161.160004, "trend_reference": 187.03091, "distance_from_trend": -0.138324, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 163.665753, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.01531, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.310741, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.100743, "excess_performance": -0.043695, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.138324, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05296, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.01531, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.226774, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.053107, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.191848, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.100743, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.61421, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1013, "relative_activity": 1.142181, "balance": 0.61421, "dry_up": 1.158812, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059314, "annualized_volatility": 0.337173, "from_high_reference": -0.26181, "from_low_reference": 0.462856 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 187.03091, "fair_value_reference": 163.665753, "structural_low": 158.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.020423, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.010566, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.153651, "worst_return": -0.155361, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.015161, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.145593, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.350372, "worst_return": -0.094309, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.296081, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.131582, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.426243, "worst_return": -0.250623, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -49.567158, "energy": 66.188463, "activity_lines": [ 175.833998, 181.358475, 188.915181, 189.357714 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 162.880005, "volume": 2046, "typical_volume": 982.95, "trend": 187.447356, "fair_value": 163.849659, "relative_strength": -7.088645, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -56.087859, "energy": 69.02077, "activity_lines": [ 171.418667, 176.8775, 186.118185, 187.776754 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 161.160004, "volume": 1013, "typical_volume": 886.9, "trend": 187.03091, "fair_value": 163.665753, "relative_strength": -5.310741, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.970805, "energy": 84.700769, "activity_lines": [ 167.223335, 172.897091, 183.259378, 186.080796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }