{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "513c6b7f-cae2-4d81-b4b6-eb6a737a90b2",
    "symbol": "AIN",
    "name": "Albany International Corporation",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 61.199,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 32.849,
    "architecture_energy": 28.678,
    "architecture_maturity": 77.534,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.281,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.73,
        "rotation_up": 37.01,
        "upward_expansion": 69.04,
        "deceleration": 82.63,
        "rotation_down": 29.67,
        "downward_expansion": 19.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        70.647333,
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        68.80049,
        65.538224
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 62.71,
    "trend_reference": 61.982129,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.011743,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 72.333509,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.133044,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.222723,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.077386,
    "excess_performance": -0.048239,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011743,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.138653,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.133044,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023013,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.042227,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001744,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077386,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.406676,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3094513,
      "relative_activity": 2.500958,
      "balance": 1.406676,
      "dry_up": 1.204273,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.088958,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.405951,
      "from_high_reference": -0.185584,
      "from_low_reference": 0.547577
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 61.982129,
      "fair_value_reference": 72.333509,
      "structural_low": 48.360106,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.041655,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030474,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.174662,
        "worst_return": -0.138457,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.087893,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.073814,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.083333,
        "worst_return": -0.129062,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.105165,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.108023,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 72.051829,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 1199398.65,
        "trend": 61.007284,
        "fair_value": 72.596651,
        "relative_strength": 20.56878,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 74.51,
        "volume": 772019,
        "typical_volume": 1176178.05,
        "trend": 61.76333,
        "fair_value": 72.489849,
        "relative_strength": 17.429573,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.124713,
        "energy": 58.136432,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.444,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 62.71,
        "volume": 3094513,
        "typical_volume": 1237331.05,
        "trend": 61.982129,
        "fair_value": 72.333509,
        "relative_strength": -4.222723,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.849411,
        "energy": 28.678005,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}