{ "ticker": { "uuid": "513e3163-ce54-45d3-9dab-6bc41ef17a4e", "symbol": "MSFX", "name": "T-REX 2X LONG MICROSOFT DAILY TARGET ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 73.147, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 51.779, "architecture_energy": 42.219, "architecture_maturity": 22.449, "architecture_confidence": 71.612, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.85, "rotation_up": 64.79, "upward_expansion": 45.1, "deceleration": 41.77, "rotation_down": 19.0, "downward_expansion": 12.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.507333, 18.423273, 18.16837, 18.023214 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 25.32, "trend_reference": 18.37899, "distance_from_trend": 0.37766, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.301292, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.000739, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.182889, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.391209, "excess_performance": 0.265584, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.37766, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.163875, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.000739, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.281981, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.051829, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.329084, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.391209, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.046859, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1602697, "relative_activity": 1.146926, "balance": 1.046859, "dry_up": 1.27961, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.120824, "annualized_volatility": 0.831067, "from_high_reference": -0.323206, "from_low_reference": 0.962791 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.37899, "fair_value_reference": 25.301292, "structural_low": 12.9, "invalidation": "A renewed 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"typical_volume": 1211572.7, "trend": 18.986323, "fair_value": 25.403594, "relative_strength": -39.803465, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.236833, "energy": 49.543745, "activity_lines": [ 15.683333, 16.385267, 17.164413, 17.608761 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.16, "volume": 1146100, "typical_volume": 1218281.55, "trend": 18.564323, "fair_value": 25.326575, "relative_strength": -42.159792, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.361704, "energy": 36.696934, "activity_lines": [ 15.568667, 16.007091, 16.957557, 17.361901 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.92, "volume": 2935554, "typical_volume": 1331525.05, "trend": 18.425323, "fair_value": 25.301152, "relative_strength": -16.044689, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.662625, "energy": 6.989671, "activity_lines": [ 17.716667, 16.932909, 17.411559, 17.578396 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.32, "volume": 1602697, "typical_volume": 1397385.3, "trend": 18.37899, "fair_value": 25.301292, "relative_strength": -5.182889, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 51.779385, "energy": 42.219062, "activity_lines": [ 20.507333, 18.423273, 18.16837, 18.023214 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }