{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5140daff-5b73-43f2-8fe8-f36e6f505bf5", "symbol": "301372", "name": "Beijing Sys Science & Technology Co .,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 58.917, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -21.511, "architecture_energy": 44.656, "architecture_maturity": 3.977, "architecture_confidence": 61.475, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.85, "rotation_up": 15.31, "upward_expansion": 24.12, "deceleration": 50.67, "rotation_down": 62.03, "downward_expansion": 51.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.68, 30.144727, 32.133238, 31.736237 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 30.1, "trend_reference": 30.862667, "distance_from_trend": -0.024712, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.480022, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.012468, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.663772, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.061354, "excess_performance": 0.053954, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.024712, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05222, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.012468, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.219772, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.006638, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119231, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.061354, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.300494, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6546912, "relative_activity": 0.728199, "balance": 1.300494, "dry_up": 0.887682, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.140174, "annualized_volatility": 0.553971, "from_high_reference": -0.274699, "from_low_reference": 0.275424 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.862667, "fair_value_reference": 30.480022, "structural_low": 23.92, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.007232, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.05929, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.352138, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.034231, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-09-19", 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30.633667, "fair_value": 30.533731, "relative_strength": 9.868013, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.095792, "energy": 16.85036, "activity_lines": [ 31.812667, 33.097091, 33.411429, 32.296344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.99, "volume": 10824965, "typical_volume": 9051287.05, "trend": 30.673334, "fair_value": 30.510417, "relative_strength": -6.74527, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.563467, "energy": 30.043485, "activity_lines": [ 30.048, 31.765818, 32.903667, 32.061269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.24, "volume": 5720596, "typical_volume": 9017609.95, "trend": 30.704667, "fair_value": 30.482506, "relative_strength": -7.852298, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.369638, "energy": 51.094399, "activity_lines": [ 28.556667, 30.495818, 32.330095, 31.775247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.1, "volume": 6546912, "typical_volume": 8990553.0, "trend": 30.862667, "fair_value": 30.480022, "relative_strength": 0.663772, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.5111, "energy": 44.656357, "activity_lines": [ 28.68, 30.144727, 32.133238, 31.736237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }