{ "ticker": { "uuid": "514b4f1a-0356-4fec-b762-6265e9414c56", "symbol": "SHOE", "name": "Shoe Zone plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.296, "architecture_energy": 61.582, "architecture_maturity": 16.604, "architecture_confidence": 69.008, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.05, "rotation_up": 69.43, "upward_expansion": 86.0, "deceleration": 45.86, "rotation_down": 11.77, "downward_expansion": 15.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.604333, 0.561909, 0.539595, 0.52471 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.61, "trend_reference": 0.515833, "distance_from_trend": 0.182553, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.26243, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.516805, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.921983, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.161905, "excess_performance": 0.110669, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.182553, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101075, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.516805, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.160998, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.07922, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.344366, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.161905, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.781131, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 72638, "relative_activity": 0.503186, "balance": 3.781131, "dry_up": 1.334185, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.158102, "annualized_volatility": 0.713549, "from_high_reference": -0.330847, "from_low_reference": 0.742857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.515833, "fair_value_reference": 1.26243, "structural_low": 0.35, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.021061, "positive_rate": 0.681818, "directional_follow_through": 0.681818, "median_excess_return": 0.01392, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.275862, "worst_return": -0.236842, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.017176, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.049736, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.475728, "worst_return": -0.216288, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.133569, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.126806, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.407767, "worst_return": -0.355668, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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0.512978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.61, "volume": 92796, "typical_volume": 152265.8, "trend": 0.518, "fair_value": 1.273343, "relative_strength": -8.881955, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.49721, "energy": 53.736063, "activity_lines": [ 0.585, 0.550455, 0.530024, 0.518774 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.61, "volume": 72638, "typical_volume": 144356.1, "trend": 0.515833, "fair_value": 1.26243, "relative_strength": -7.921983, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.296085, "energy": 61.582213, "activity_lines": [ 0.604333, 0.561909, 0.539595, 0.52471 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }