{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5170c2b7-ca1e-4cdd-b0ec-3661ad86b879", "symbol": "BBGI", "name": "Beasley Broadcast Group Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.287, "architecture_energy": 26.447, "architecture_maturity": 58.518, "architecture_confidence": 95.846, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.85, "rotation_up": 27.99, "upward_expansion": 61.25, "deceleration": 89.43, "rotation_down": 27.05, "downward_expansion": 15.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.555667, 22.348091, 20.68, 17.713204 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 22.11, "trend_reference": 13.709167, "distance_from_trend": 0.612789, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.177308, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.978115, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 101.547703, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 4.002262, "excess_performance": 3.814809, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.612789, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.73099, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.978115, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.442423, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 1.015477, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.389008, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 4.002262, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.826675, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 720655, "relative_activity": 0.186188, "balance": 1.826675, "dry_up": 0.074644, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.211276, "annualized_volatility": 2.168491, "from_high_reference": -0.245392, "from_low_reference": 6.041401 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.709167, "fair_value_reference": 11.177308, "structural_low": 3.14, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.152855, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.178669, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.202276, "worst_return": -0.190813, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.342741, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.29192, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.186004, "worst_return": -0.499479, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.791112, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.659308, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.154696, "worst_return": -0.572471, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.474453, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.716181, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.474453, "worst_return": -0.474453, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.137643, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.430303, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.101313, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.033125, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.092857, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.222781, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.61087, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.24502, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.137097, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.829082, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", 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"close": 23.345, "volume": 58633, "typical_volume": 3824173.5, "trend": 11.527833, "fair_value": 11.140411, "relative_strength": 140.370673, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.892625, "energy": 67.189569, "activity_lines": [ 24.195667, 21.851818, 18.664, 15.371441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 22.16, "volume": 246674, "typical_volume": 3833995.2, "trend": 12.099167, "fair_value": 11.160385, "relative_strength": 130.05203, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.391155, "energy": 64.185232, "activity_lines": [ 23.8, 22.266091, 19.362357, 16.057387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.52, "volume": 95937, "typical_volume": 3835223.55, "trend": 12.6155, "fair_value": 11.170898, "relative_strength": 109.914809, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.618376, "energy": 44.110864, "activity_lines": [ 22.565, 22.290727, 19.818429, 16.600667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.89, "volume": 92387, "typical_volume": 3838409.4, "trend": 13.140167, "fair_value": 11.175321, "relative_strength": 106.152722, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.979062, "energy": 31.324033, "activity_lines": [ 21.67, 22.260636, 20.231833, 17.134505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.11, "volume": 720655, "typical_volume": 3870568.3, "trend": 13.709167, "fair_value": 11.177308, "relative_strength": 101.547703, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.287216, "energy": 26.446523, "activity_lines": [ 21.555667, 22.348091, 20.68, 17.713204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }