{ "ticker": { "uuid": "51734023-6bee-4d71-b10e-74e9ce17567c", "symbol": "GNTX", "name": "Gentex Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 93.707, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 20.897, "architecture_energy": 17.725, "architecture_maturity": 20.765, "architecture_confidence": 75.442, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.33, "rotation_up": 18.26, "upward_expansion": 50.57, "deceleration": 92.49, "rotation_down": 38.32, "downward_expansion": 21.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.696, 24.13275, 24.073588, 23.706363 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 24.08, "trend_reference": 23.426081, "distance_from_trend": 0.027914, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.136452, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.112633, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.957073, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.003731, "excess_performance": -0.183723, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.027914, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019376, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.112633, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035905, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.129571, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053439, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.003731, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.270509, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10245958, "relative_activity": 0.89454, "balance": 1.270509, "dry_up": 1.088597, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06283, "annualized_volatility": 0.251331, "from_high_reference": -0.168177, "from_low_reference": 0.182128 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.426081, "fair_value_reference": 27.136452, "structural_low": 20.37004, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.011012, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.002002, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.191369, "worst_return": -0.136421, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.000365, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.083492, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.204767, "worst_return": -0.194816, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.02927, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.056577, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.195993, "worst_return": -0.281744, 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.080843, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.09727, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.034076, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.005091, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.01509, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-13", 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"2026-07-24", "close": 22.9, "volume": 15466291, "typical_volume": 11204705.6, "trend": 23.439269, "fair_value": 27.240297, "relative_strength": -13.634678, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.151528, "energy": 17.245006, "activity_lines": [ 23.919225, 24.422495, 24.018525, 23.669952 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.36, "volume": 15275251, "typical_volume": 11458794.15, "trend": 23.436359, "fair_value": 27.184083, "relative_strength": -11.813777, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.01822, "energy": 18.904236, "activity_lines": [ 23.615649, 24.207713, 24.017729, 23.664838 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.08, "volume": 10245958, "typical_volume": 11453880.45, "trend": 23.426081, "fair_value": 27.136452, "relative_strength": -12.957073, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.896686, "energy": 17.724886, "activity_lines": [ 23.696, 24.13275, 24.073588, 23.706363 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }