{ "ticker": { "uuid": "51943695-049f-49a3-9aed-f0214f41136e", "symbol": "IHS", "name": "IHS Holding Ltd", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 54.656, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.061, "architecture_energy": 17.37, "architecture_maturity": 31.751, "architecture_confidence": 79.509, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.31, "rotation_up": 36.64, "upward_expansion": 54.36, "deceleration": 85.52, "rotation_down": 25.28, "downward_expansion": 20.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.254667, 8.243091, 8.253048, 8.236258 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 8.35, "trend_reference": 8.178667, "distance_from_trend": 0.020949, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.329359, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.566793, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.933897, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.015815, "excess_performance": -0.10981, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.020949, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050702, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.566793, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027786, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.029339, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065773, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.015815, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.972072, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2617563, "relative_activity": 0.439388, "balance": 0.972072, "dry_up": 1.0158, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017365, "annualized_volatility": 0.086904, "from_high_reference": -0.067039, "from_low_reference": 0.462347 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.178667, "fair_value_reference": 5.329359, "structural_low": 7.86, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"2023-09-15", "end": "2024-04-19", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.322449, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-07-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.155807, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-19", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.212544, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.222222, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.246212, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.154321, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", 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5855601.2, "trend": 8.124333, "fair_value": 5.32391, "relative_strength": 0.231865, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.075518, "energy": 8.605355, "activity_lines": [ 8.218, 8.234545, 8.247714, 8.218645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.2, "volume": 15982800, "typical_volume": 6204186.0, "trend": 8.152667, "fair_value": 5.326154, "relative_strength": -1.288547, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.646553, "energy": 8.147071, "activity_lines": [ 8.21, 8.223455, 8.243238, 8.223527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.35, "volume": 2617563, "typical_volume": 5957292.25, "trend": 8.178667, "fair_value": 5.329359, "relative_strength": -2.933897, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.061383, "energy": 17.370318, "activity_lines": [ 8.254667, 8.243091, 8.253048, 8.236258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }