{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5195a867-2d46-4791-9f22-e1c9aee7abeb", "symbol": "SEA1", "name": "Sea1 Offshore Inc.", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 28.842, "architecture_energy": 21.825, "architecture_maturity": 44.592, "architecture_confidence": 65.915, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.25, "rotation_up": 53.34, "upward_expansion": 53.94, "deceleration": 60.95, "rotation_down": 8.61, "downward_expansion": 20.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.883333, 26.379091, 26.798571, 26.809497 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 27.35, "trend_reference": 26.211174, "distance_from_trend": 0.043448, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.092806, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.296651, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.476258, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.195985, "excess_performance": 0.070991, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043448, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088249, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.296651, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035376, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.044763, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012203, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.195985, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.531086, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 549344, "relative_activity": 0.875703, "balance": 1.531086, "dry_up": 0.942864, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056813, "annualized_volatility": 0.340725, "from_high_reference": -0.159754, "from_low_reference": 0.593823 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.211174, "fair_value_reference": 21.092806, "structural_low": 22.469318, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.028563, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.007554, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.027559, "worst_return": -0.084685, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.032407, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.092308, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.116936, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.17208, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-08-07", 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26.9, "volume": 682327, "typical_volume": 684991.65, "trend": 26.011553, "fair_value": 21.039326, "relative_strength": 2.843543, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.937676, "energy": 17.467448, "activity_lines": [ 26.516667, 26.164546, 26.809811, 26.723145 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.35, "volume": 549344, "typical_volume": 627318.05, "trend": 26.211174, "fair_value": 21.092806, "relative_strength": 4.476258, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.841886, "energy": 21.824553, "activity_lines": [ 26.883333, 26.379091, 26.798571, 26.809497 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }