{ "ticker": { "uuid": "519765fa-b03c-4aa8-8039-55fcb66ac54e", "symbol": "PAGP", "name": "Plains GP Holdings LP", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.93, "architecture_energy": 67.036, "architecture_maturity": 11.009, "architecture_confidence": 83.11, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.27, "rotation_up": 69.37, "upward_expansion": 87.77, "deceleration": 45.79, "rotation_down": 11.05, "downward_expansion": 14.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.461041, 24.947107, 24.556018, 24.116334 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 24.74, "trend_reference": 23.282376, "distance_from_trend": 0.062606, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.554741, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.409306, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.387627, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.21553, "excess_performance": 0.028076, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.062606, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.105507, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.409306, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002761, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.043876, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033447, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.21553, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.987739, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9010554, "relative_activity": 1.143485, "balance": 1.987739, "dry_up": 0.970269, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047907, "annualized_volatility": 0.25314, "from_high_reference": -0.062168, "from_low_reference": 0.57339 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.282376, "fair_value_reference": 17.554741, "structural_low": 19.984722, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 42, "median_return": 0.001146, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.001033, "regime_survival": 0.738095, "best_return": 0.158341, "worst_return": -0.153081, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.042682, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.031462, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.162235, "worst_return": -0.083811, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.127977, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.005183, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.329739, "worst_return": -0.085234, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.657911, "energy": 77.705577, "activity_lines": [ 25.613692, 24.91836, 24.497492, 24.010163 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.74, "volume": 9010554, "typical_volume": 7879905.4, "trend": 23.282376, "fair_value": 17.554741, "relative_strength": 4.387627, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.929838, "energy": 67.03613, "activity_lines": [ 25.461041, 24.947107, 24.556018, 24.116334 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }