{ "ticker": { "uuid": "519c9694-689f-4d70-a052-077565f4bb5a", "symbol": "IMB", "name": "Intelligent Monitoring Group Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 57.517, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 30.838, "architecture_energy": 28.823, "architecture_maturity": 12.774, "architecture_confidence": 46.488, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.53, "rotation_up": 51.3, "upward_expansion": 52.78, "deceleration": 31.89, "rotation_down": 26.87, "downward_expansion": 11.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.618, 0.610909, 0.590048, 0.579054 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.62, "trend_reference": 0.585083, "distance_from_trend": 0.059678, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.506779, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.223413, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.660467, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.053435, "excess_performance": -0.117141, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.059678, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018728, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.223413, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055113, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.026605, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05413, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.053435, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.834438, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2022678, "relative_activity": 1.788414, "balance": 0.834438, "dry_up": 1.990213, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075993, "annualized_volatility": 0.392325, "from_high_reference": -0.194805, "from_low_reference": 0.362637 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.585083, "fair_value_reference": 0.506779, "structural_low": 0.455, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.036197, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.015282, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.458331, "worst_return": -0.085713, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.11494, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.06629, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.511628, "worst_return": 0.059827, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.129845, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.07389, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.457262, "worst_return": 0.077586, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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0.566786, 0.573118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.62, "volume": 1939296, "typical_volume": 977541.25, "trend": 0.59525, "fair_value": 0.499022, "relative_strength": 1.967976, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.807518, "energy": 46.603384, "activity_lines": [ 0.616333, 0.598591, 0.573464, 0.574726 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.6, "volume": 1968497, "typical_volume": 1000280.5, "trend": 0.593083, "fair_value": 0.501458, "relative_strength": -0.896647, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.860102, "energy": 49.91623, "activity_lines": [ 0.615333, 0.600727, 0.577905, 0.575032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.625, "volume": 3073175, "typical_volume": 1074790.7, "trend": 0.589583, "fair_value": 0.504087, "relative_strength": 1.017135, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.12916, "energy": 40.032461, "activity_lines": [ 0.619333, 0.606591, 0.58444, 0.577091 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.62, "volume": 2022678, "typical_volume": 1130990.05, "trend": 0.585083, "fair_value": 0.506779, "relative_strength": -2.660467, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.837783, "energy": 28.823323, "activity_lines": [ 0.618, 0.610909, 0.590048, 0.579054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }