{ "ticker": { "uuid": "51a75e31-41a5-4986-8155-8ec6bef7daf3", "symbol": "AXTRART", "name": "Axtra Future City Freehold And Leasehold Real Estate Investment Trust", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 74.121, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.364, "architecture_energy": 52.835, "architecture_maturity": 50.534, "architecture_confidence": 73.582, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.04, "rotation_up": 59.31, "upward_expansion": 84.34, "deceleration": 47.57, "rotation_down": 14.96, "downward_expansion": 11.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.1, 13.014545, 12.912164, 12.826004 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.1, "trend_reference": 12.697846, "distance_from_trend": 0.031671, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.396577, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.149468, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.682551, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.04208, "excess_performance": -0.150245, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.031671, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019562, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.149468, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028317, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.076826, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043675, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.04208, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.658984, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3323600, "relative_activity": 0.831316, "balance": 0.658984, "dry_up": 1.025131, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025174, "annualized_volatility": 0.148924, "from_high_reference": -0.022388, "from_low_reference": 0.242527 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.697846, "fair_value_reference": 11.396577, "structural_low": 11.79741, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.458333, "directional_follow_through": 0.458333, "median_excess_return": -0.005004, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.073171, "worst_return": -0.08589, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.013302, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.067885, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.101535, "worst_return": -0.198226, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.043576, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.000784, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.078441, "worst_return": -0.112492, "sufficient": true }, 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"close": 12.9, "volume": 5131600, "typical_volume": 4230940.0, "trend": 12.648061, "fair_value": 11.344675, "relative_strength": -10.829077, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.588607, "energy": 41.820729, "activity_lines": [ 12.94, 12.857891, 12.803063, 12.734876 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.1, "volume": 5420100, "typical_volume": 4165130.0, "trend": 12.66247, "fair_value": 11.36217, "relative_strength": -9.538412, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.725813, "energy": 55.377412, "activity_lines": [ 13.006667, 12.91264, 12.840133, 12.764034 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.2, "volume": 2518600, "typical_volume": 3979330.0, "trend": 12.67699, "fair_value": 11.379694, "relative_strength": -7.728732, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.553836, "energy": 60.053365, "activity_lines": [ 13.086667, 12.978182, 12.883288, 12.798713 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.1, "volume": 3323600, "typical_volume": 3998000.0, "trend": 12.697846, "fair_value": 11.396577, "relative_strength": -7.682551, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.364112, "energy": 52.83483, "activity_lines": [ 13.1, 13.014545, 12.912164, 12.826004 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }