{ "ticker": { "uuid": "51a8e44d-5155-4281-9439-93f99dfca48a", "symbol": "EX16", "name": "iShares Core EURO STOXX 50 UCITS ETF (DE)", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 83.439, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.616, "architecture_energy": 75.207, "architecture_maturity": 30.657, "architecture_confidence": 73.207, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.57, "rotation_up": 65.67, "upward_expansion": 87.83, "deceleration": 51.7, "rotation_down": 21.48, "downward_expansion": 14.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 64.986001, 64.468127, 63.044032, 61.954341 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 66.690002, "trend_reference": 60.935502, "distance_from_trend": 0.094436, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 51.230986, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.301751, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.621625, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.104768, "excess_performance": -0.069479, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094436, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036587, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.301751, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093453, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.076216, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029665, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.104768, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": null, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": null, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022138, "annualized_volatility": 0.172757, "from_high_reference": -0.000599, "from_low_reference": 0.256937 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 60.935502, "fair_value_reference": 51.230986, "structural_low": 54.400002, "invalidation": "A 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60.651885, 60.237177 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 65.239998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 110.6, "trend": 59.919577, "fair_value": 50.490186, "relative_strength": -9.847076, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.332736, "energy": 88.568239, "activity_lines": [ 63.847132, 62.714431, 61.15203, 60.597032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 63.84, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 65.1, "trend": 60.131239, "fair_value": 50.633024, "relative_strength": -10.342668, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.534812, "energy": 81.567635, "activity_lines": [ 64.00973, 63.096479, 61.495204, 60.849963 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 63.509998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 10.1, "trend": 60.31715, "fair_value": 50.774431, "relative_strength": -8.810363, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.222207, "energy": 72.574775, "activity_lines": [ 63.915998, 63.335691, 61.796576, 61.067947 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 63.959999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 10.0, "trend": 60.523712, "fair_value": 50.913509, "relative_strength": -9.171241, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.550233, "energy": 64.459277, "activity_lines": [ 63.923332, 63.5871, 62.133193, 61.30297 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 64.650002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 10.0, "trend": 60.720037, "fair_value": 51.065292, "relative_strength": -7.960351, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.820525, "energy": 55.913224, "activity_lines": [ 64.169333, 63.873535, 62.508294, 61.569182 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 66.690002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 5.0, "trend": 60.935502, "fair_value": 51.230986, "relative_strength": -7.621625, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.615613, "energy": 75.207233, "activity_lines": [ 64.986001, 64.468127, 63.044032, 61.954341 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }