{ "ticker": { "uuid": "51ac4c0f-308f-4d5f-9c04-484b612a8100", "symbol": "FCEL", "name": "FuelCell Energy, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 38.769, "architecture_energy": 21.524, "architecture_maturity": 62.614, "architecture_confidence": 93.858, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.28, "rotation_up": 33.23, "upward_expansion": 59.5, "deceleration": 85.15, "rotation_down": 25.77, "downward_expansion": 18.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 357.430668, 365.822365, 341.54062, 296.464968 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 339.0, "trend_reference": 242.409667, "distance_from_trend": 0.398459, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 311.023782, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.089949, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 69.896517, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.787829, "excess_performance": 1.842496, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.398459, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.43221, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.089949, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.458876, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.698965, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07366, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.787829, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.172283, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2586, "relative_activity": 1.401436, "balance": 1.172283, "dry_up": 1.092806, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.318822, "annualized_volatility": 1.326986, "from_high_reference": -0.335294, "from_low_reference": 3.593496 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 242.409667, "fair_value_reference": 311.023782, "structural_low": 111.400002, "invalidation": "A 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"2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.201278, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.176, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.243316, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.411552, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.238095, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.048, "active": false }, { "regime": 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1492.4, "trend": 214.539333, "fair_value": 329.150513, "relative_strength": 103.381117, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.196781, "energy": 50.265496, "activity_lines": [ 389.320667, 372.297818, 307.384, 262.843784 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 326.230011, "volume": 2858, "typical_volume": 1627.35, "trend": 220.476333, "fair_value": 323.741731, "relative_strength": 77.369865, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.911103, "energy": 39.781886, "activity_lines": [ 372.87667, 366.676911, 314.699429, 270.049635 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 371.0, "volume": 790, "typical_volume": 1662.45, "trend": 227.843, "fair_value": 319.196859, "relative_strength": 97.275158, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.852323, "energy": 39.073772, "activity_lines": [ 369.128003, 367.568184, 325.405239, 279.760839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 384.0, "volume": 1832, "typical_volume": 1731.15, "trend": 236.243, "fair_value": 315.100705, "relative_strength": 97.032979, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.785839, "energy": 30.682368, "activity_lines": [ 372.579336, 370.29582, 336.23962, 289.835484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 339.0, "volume": 2586, "typical_volume": 1845.25, "trend": 242.409667, "fair_value": 311.023782, "relative_strength": 69.896517, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.768617, "energy": 21.523747, "activity_lines": [ 357.430668, 365.822365, 341.54062, 296.464968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }