{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "51b244ff-ad8a-4829-bc36-be59c5173657",
    "symbol": "300408",
    "name": "Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group) Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 32.514,
    "architecture_energy": 28.242,
    "architecture_maturity": 79.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.22,
        "rotation_up": 22.59,
        "upward_expansion": 55.63,
        "deceleration": 91.16,
        "rotation_down": 38.31,
        "downward_expansion": 21.63
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        114.083999,
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        117.920637,
        104.915485
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 127.389999,
    "trend_reference": 87.859118,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.449935,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 44.098881,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.888735,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 81.99008,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 1.561155,
    "excess_performance": 1.553755,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.449935,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.464835,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.888735,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.513565,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.819901,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.287021,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.561155,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.378547,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 390527268,
      "relative_activity": 1.815022,
      "balance": 2.378547,
      "dry_up": 1.86548,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.180651,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.8055,
      "from_high_reference": -0.235629,
      "from_low_reference": 2.86065
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 87.859118,
      "fair_value_reference": 44.098881,
      "structural_low": 47.600489,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.057006,
        "positive_rate": 0.777778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007527,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.447501,
        "worst_return": -0.108492,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.233907,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.210912,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.142167,
        "worst_return": -0.056102,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.148222,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.06342,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 2.080381,
        "worst_return": -0.214834,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.171587,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.047824,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.425035,
        "worst_return": -0.285462,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.035181,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
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        "return": 0.181529,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.08059,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016982,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.011658,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.022929,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 186459544.75,
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        "fair_value": 42.961827,
        "relative_strength": 56.483688,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 202047786.15,
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        "fair_value": 43.482372,
        "relative_strength": 72.112247,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 27.615573,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 127.389999,
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        "typical_volume": 215163936.55,
        "trend": 87.859118,
        "fair_value": 44.098881,
        "relative_strength": 81.99008,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}