{ "ticker": { "uuid": "51b8e747-8c96-4643-a7f2-a627412b0289", "symbol": "CVC", "name": "CVC Capital Partners plc", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 69.69, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 93.625, "architecture_energy": 96.299, "architecture_maturity": 19.468, "architecture_confidence": 61.669, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.93, "rotation_up": 89.09, "upward_expansion": 99.99, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 8.22, "downward_expansion": 21.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.716853, 14.057029, 13.531679, 13.122622 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 15.74, "trend_reference": 12.919057, "distance_from_trend": 0.218355, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.015311, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.017191, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.766178, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.22359, "excess_performance": 0.049343, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.218355, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007507, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.017191, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.180736, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.067662, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.167701, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.22359, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.972678, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 658, "relative_activity": 1.654721, "balance": 6.972678, "dry_up": 3.071168, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045744, "annualized_volatility": 0.348434, "from_high_reference": -0.083855, "from_low_reference": 0.51503 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.919057, "fair_value_reference": 16.015311, "structural_low": 10.38923, 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11.876918, "activity_lines": [ 12.98437, 13.020776, 12.716791, 12.661323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.471259, "volume": 4193, "typical_volume": 527.45, "trend": 12.877769, "fair_value": 16.05005, "relative_strength": -12.979954, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 53.444385, "energy": 54.06441, "activity_lines": [ 13.497354, 13.276441, 12.920712, 12.765221 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.959002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 388.05, "trend": 12.875652, "fair_value": 16.03138, "relative_strength": -16.341729, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.995237, "energy": 62.859169, "activity_lines": [ 13.738169, 13.414027, 13.063749, 12.834978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.490962, "volume": 34, "typical_volume": 364.75, "trend": 12.896831, "fair_value": 16.017748, "relative_strength": -12.312684, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.642793, "energy": 81.77659, "activity_lines": [ 14.089037, 13.635624, 13.245875, 12.939192 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.74, "volume": 658, "typical_volume": 397.65, "trend": 12.919057, "fair_value": 16.015311, "relative_strength": -6.766178, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.6251, "energy": 96.299368, "activity_lines": [ 14.716853, 14.057029, 13.531679, 13.122622 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }