{ "ticker": { "uuid": "51c0e8ac-ec71-4898-acf5-29b956a153dc", "symbol": "DSGR", "name": "Distribution Solutions Group Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.548, "architecture_energy": 92.417, "architecture_maturity": 22.185, "architecture_confidence": 78.81, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.97, "rotation_up": 81.46, "upward_expansion": 95.33, "deceleration": 44.67, "rotation_down": 8.0, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.174, 31.961273, 29.987429, 29.044151 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 34.88, "trend_reference": 28.419833, "distance_from_trend": 0.227312, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.568526, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.141043, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.818336, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.130266, "excess_performance": -0.057188, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.227312, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031118, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.141043, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.234392, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.058183, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.258062, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.130266, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.956979, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 947778, "relative_activity": 1.445496, "balance": 7.956979, "dry_up": 2.617695, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042586, "annualized_volatility": 0.717223, "from_high_reference": -0.004992, "from_low_reference": 0.833859 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.419833, "fair_value_reference": 30.568526, "structural_low": 19.02, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.031, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": -0.02947, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.127363, "worst_return": -0.226095, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.04287, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.095016, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.14888, "worst_return": -0.228297, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.125644, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.125282, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.24234, "worst_return": -0.113405, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"date": "2026-06-26", "close": 27.82, "volume": 432910, "typical_volume": 573016.7, "trend": 27.7095, "fair_value": 30.349167, "relative_strength": -15.048388, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 14.898968, "energy": 34.22441, "activity_lines": [ 27.901333, 27.614364, 27.167286, 27.372495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 27.2, "volume": 265433, "typical_volume": 557729.6, "trend": 27.700833, "fair_value": 30.361442, "relative_strength": -17.156789, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.925306, "energy": 25.772755, "activity_lines": [ 27.730667, 27.563, 27.181167, 27.339624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 27.4, "volume": 187378, "typical_volume": 552310.5, "trend": 27.642833, "fair_value": 30.369808, "relative_strength": -17.551085, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.934156, "energy": 15.20471, "activity_lines": [ 27.613333, 27.551091, 27.231429, 27.320215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.5, "volume": 2911516, "typical_volume": 681814.55, "trend": 27.830833, "fair_value": 30.414327, "relative_strength": 8.384771, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 62.236176, "energy": 68.588782, "activity_lines": [ 29.863333, 28.832636, 27.973643, 27.762613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.51, "volume": 1570698, "typical_volume": 711169.35, "trend": 28.023833, "fair_value": 30.459519, "relative_strength": 10.281653, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.447757, "energy": 94.466991, "activity_lines": [ 31.664667, 29.986909, 28.694905, 28.193527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.57, "volume": 1435456, "typical_volume": 725300.55, "trend": 28.2415, "fair_value": 30.512179, "relative_strength": 9.969425, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.404698, "energy": 94.525943, "activity_lines": [ 33.092667, 31.014727, 29.362738, 28.61586 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.88, "volume": 947778, "typical_volume": 655676.8, "trend": 28.419833, "fair_value": 30.568526, "relative_strength": 5.818336, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.547533, "energy": 92.416629, "activity_lines": [ 34.174, 31.961273, 29.987429, 29.044151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }