{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "51c46d82-cc27-44ca-845a-9ab51804cba4",
    "symbol": "BOI",
    "name": "Boiron SA",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 63.851,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -0.106,
    "architecture_energy": 6.308,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.943,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.778,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 71.0,
        "rotation_up": 18.44,
        "upward_expansion": 18.03,
        "deceleration": 66.86,
        "rotation_down": 37.23,
        "downward_expansion": 29.37
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        27.24,
        27.414545,
        27.180918,
        27.056645
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 27.200001,
    "trend_reference": 27.336324,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.004987,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 29.051163,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.063721,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.737969,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.077966,
    "excess_performance": -0.131277,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004987,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014895,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.063721,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046532,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.06738,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061194,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.077966,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.113477,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6536,
      "relative_activity": 0.563737,
      "balance": 1.113477,
      "dry_up": 0.773026,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046788,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.253565,
      "from_high_reference": -0.156589,
      "from_low_reference": 0.304556
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.336324,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.051163,
      "structural_low": 23.347561,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.002341,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": 0.030472,
        "regime_survival": 0.615385,
        "best_return": 0.084153,
        "worst_return": -0.168712,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.072046,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.09718,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.060165,
        "worst_return": -0.180029,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.141458,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.19602,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.153439,
        "worst_return": -0.214506,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.158548,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.212973,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.040459,
        "worst_return": -0.357556,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-11-03",
        "end": "2024-01-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.03399,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-02-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.084062,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-02-09",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.029105,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.106628,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.088241,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.089041,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.078947,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.012007,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.128978,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014051,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.199269,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007143,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014925,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 7270.05,
        "trend": 27.924582,
        "fair_value": 29.481706,
        "relative_strength": -8.472876,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.871608,
        "energy": 59.975155,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 9377.9,
        "trend": 27.908287,
        "fair_value": 29.465281,
        "relative_strength": -0.891043,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 50.532001,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 9974.6,
        "trend": 27.858502,
        "fair_value": 29.453811,
        "relative_strength": -0.618549,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 27.35,
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        "typical_volume": 10648.1,
        "trend": 27.853502,
        "fair_value": 29.450586,
        "relative_strength": 5.520068,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.003019,
        "energy": 22.477319,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 17312,
        "typical_volume": 11414.25,
        "trend": 27.784187,
        "fair_value": 29.438198,
        "relative_strength": -2.147208,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.327,
        "energy": 21.327095,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.269977,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 27.064112,
        "volume": 7850,
        "typical_volume": 11444.8,
        "trend": 27.749657,
        "fair_value": 29.43378,
        "relative_strength": 1.119616,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -28.059279,
        "energy": 20.346434,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.638456,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 28.799999,
        "volume": 3521,
        "typical_volume": 11506.45,
        "trend": 27.809657,
        "fair_value": 29.438606,
        "relative_strength": 6.798339,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 7.717915,
        "energy": 17.491602,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.394971,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 28.0,
        "volume": 1675,
        "typical_volume": 11209.3,
        "trend": 27.877991,
        "fair_value": 29.437598,
        "relative_strength": 1.986933,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -1.275966,
        "energy": 15.733411,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.705563,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 828,
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        "trend": 27.914657,
        "fair_value": 29.429019,
        "relative_strength": -0.118194,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -2.882027,
        "energy": 18.459715,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.796586,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 28.200001,
        "volume": 994,
        "typical_volume": 10807.15,
        "trend": 27.904657,
        "fair_value": 29.425292,
        "relative_strength": 1.891094,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 20.154931,
        "energy": 33.096062,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.030941,
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          26.843243,
          27.206297
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 27.5,
        "volume": 2276,
        "typical_volume": 10679.45,
        "trend": 27.796324,
        "fair_value": 29.366484,
        "relative_strength": -2.245352,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 15.490038,
        "energy": 26.709107,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.88,
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          27.18019
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 27.5,
        "volume": 11474,
        "typical_volume": 10683.7,
        "trend": 27.741324,
        "fair_value": 29.306027,
        "relative_strength": -0.515739,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -4.834454,
        "energy": 10.938308,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.7,
          27.653174,
          26.987389,
          27.161073
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 26.799999,
        "volume": 12694,
        "typical_volume": 10954.4,
        "trend": 27.624657,
        "fair_value": 29.241555,
        "relative_strength": -3.257224,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.805263,
        "energy": 12.370641,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.373333,
          27.539699,
          27.000295,
          27.100342
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.299999,
        "volume": 10625,
        "typical_volume": 11298.45,
        "trend": 27.521324,
        "fair_value": 29.179817,
        "relative_strength": -2.106446,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.491628,
        "energy": 15.07828,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.293333,
          27.506341,
          27.063677,
          27.079396
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.4,
        "volume": 5995,
        "typical_volume": 11458.25,
        "trend": 27.431324,
        "fair_value": 29.118719,
        "relative_strength": -3.577082,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 2.155937,
        "energy": 7.358219,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.273333,
          27.492075,
          27.135154,
          27.071569
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 27.200001,
        "volume": 6536,
        "typical_volume": 11594.05,
        "trend": 27.336324,
        "fair_value": 29.051163,
        "relative_strength": -6.737969,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -0.105732,
        "energy": 6.307725,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.24,
          27.414545,
          27.180918,
          27.056645
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}