{ "ticker": { "uuid": "51d4a7f5-2d1f-4fa5-bab4-1059cae0220d", "symbol": "TCS", "name": "Tata Consultancy Services Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 70.579, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 3.919, "architecture_energy": 26.468, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 54.786, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.61, "rotation_up": 48.71, "upward_expansion": 28.39, "deceleration": 41.33, "rotation_down": 17.34, "downward_expansion": 53.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 2338.967855, 2248.418177, 2251.538813, 2308.65641 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2452.699951, "trend_reference": 2440.798185, "distance_from_trend": 0.004876, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3276.154884, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.251348, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.484796, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.154897, "excess_performance": -0.111187, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.004876, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107839, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.251348, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042287, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.074848, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0888, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.154897, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.012489, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16121160, "relative_activity": 0.943627, "balance": 1.012489, "dry_up": 1.388114, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047666, "annualized_volatility": 0.283286, "from_high_reference": -0.257924, "from_low_reference": 0.223288 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2440.798185, "fair_value_reference": 3276.154884, "structural_low": 2005.006652, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.015428, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.013412, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.082093, "worst_return": -0.111364, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.071685, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.084267, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.05469, "worst_return": -0.131901, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.101103, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.129295, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.044796, 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"relative_strength": -10.41295, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.277816, "energy": 21.546267, "activity_lines": [ 2256.647982, 2199.432821, 2235.532566, 2309.298619 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2452.699951, "volume": 16121160, "typical_volume": 17084247.3, "trend": 2440.798185, "fair_value": 3276.154884, "relative_strength": -7.484796, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 3.918964, "energy": 26.467782, "activity_lines": [ 2338.967855, 2248.418177, 2251.538813, 2308.65641 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }