{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "51e8c5d8-fb82-43f2-9863-b15740c6056a",
    "symbol": "GAU",
    "name": "Galiano Gold Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -59.166,
    "architecture_energy": 47.703,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.421,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.554,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.68,
        "rotation_up": 22.03,
        "upward_expansion": 6.95,
        "deceleration": 56.13,
        "rotation_down": 52.5,
        "downward_expansion": 77.95
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.629333,
        2.673091,
        2.859238,
        3.052473
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 2.86,
    "trend_reference": 3.326667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.140281,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.249679,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.271292,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -24.30697,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.201117,
    "excess_performance": -0.321539,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.140281,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058846,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.271292,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.415168,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.24307,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.259396,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.201117,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.565773,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1676300,
      "relative_activity": 1.172668,
      "balance": 0.565773,
      "dry_up": 1.453995,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.116192,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.696718,
      "from_high_reference": -0.417515,
      "from_low_reference": 0.415842
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.326667,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.249679,
      "structural_low": 2.35,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": -0.059674,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03571,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 0.22973,
        "worst_return": -0.223881,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.093657,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.106905,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.662162,
        "worst_return": -0.296296,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.061538,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025439,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 2.067568,
        "worst_return": -0.4,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.469796,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.324757,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 2.175676,
        "worst_return": -0.622222,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.06383,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.232,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.205479,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.053398,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.035897,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.079602,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.057895,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.162011,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
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        "return": 0.017857,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": -8.033135,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 1925965.0,
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        "fair_value": 2.192885,
        "relative_strength": -21.155277,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1866130.0,
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        "fair_value": 2.204423,
        "relative_strength": -27.664648,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.685995,
        "energy": 70.490565,
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          2.771333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.44,
        "volume": 1430100,
        "typical_volume": 1744565.0,
        "trend": 3.423667,
        "fair_value": 2.214615,
        "relative_strength": -33.345789,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -79.578091,
        "energy": 76.699404,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.648,
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          2.991952,
          3.197591
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.63,
        "volume": 2581000,
        "typical_volume": 1603515.0,
        "trend": 3.391,
        "fair_value": 2.226474,
        "relative_strength": -28.376171,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.519128,
        "energy": 60.155252,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.620667,
          2.726545,
          2.93981,
          3.146387
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.43,
        "volume": 2626400,
        "typical_volume": 1597925.0,
        "trend": 3.354667,
        "fair_value": 2.236667,
        "relative_strength": -33.53322,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -71.672482,
        "energy": 65.659492,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.544667,
          2.654545,
          2.876524,
          3.084387
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.86,
        "volume": 1676300,
        "typical_volume": 1429475.0,
        "trend": 3.326667,
        "fair_value": 2.249679,
        "relative_strength": -24.30697,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.166159,
        "energy": 47.703485,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.629333,
          2.673091,
          2.859238,
          3.052473
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}