{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "51ed83dc-4dc9-485c-9d3e-eabb1296cafb",
    "symbol": "ACWE",
    "name": "State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.276,
    "architecture_energy": 60.045,
    "architecture_maturity": 89.504,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.479,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.22,
        "rotation_up": 49.95,
        "upward_expansion": 81.21,
        "deceleration": 71.44,
        "rotation_down": 29.26,
        "downward_expansion": 10.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        281.418331,
        280.806054,
        276.906358,
        271.093637
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 286.735992,
    "trend_reference": 264.201733,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.085292,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 220.691321,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.299263,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.468006,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.14137,
    "excess_performance": 0.088058,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085292,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045567,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.299263,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029086,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05468,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05011,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14137,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.893201,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6375,
      "relative_activity": 0.737659,
      "balance": 1.893201,
      "dry_up": 1.127028,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019232,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.113831,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003593,
      "from_low_reference": 0.255598
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 264.201733,
      "fair_value_reference": 220.691321,
      "structural_low": 238.699005,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.012694,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005491,
        "regime_survival": 0.846154,
        "best_return": 0.059474,
        "worst_return": -0.077309,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.024869,
        "positive_rate": 0.769231,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.769231,
        "median_excess_return": 0.028897,
        "regime_survival": 0.615385,
        "best_return": 0.095522,
        "worst_return": -0.143211,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.080082,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.049806,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
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        "worst_return": -0.074482,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.064478,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.109021,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.215432,
        "worst_return": -0.000365,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2023-10-13",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.067195,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": -0.113819,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 8538.0,
        "trend": 262.088,
        "fair_value": 219.276815,
        "relative_strength": 7.514209,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 63.437729,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 277.147003,
        "volume": 10690,
        "typical_volume": 8734.95,
        "trend": 263.093367,
        "fair_value": 219.948546,
        "relative_strength": 4.62387,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.905124,
        "energy": 48.98431,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 286.735992,
        "volume": 6375,
        "typical_volume": 8642.2,
        "trend": 264.201733,
        "fair_value": 220.691321,
        "relative_strength": 5.468006,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.275964,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}