{ "ticker": { "uuid": "51ede244-ebda-41ad-801c-5f9669637ce0", "symbol": "300269", "name": "Shenzhen Liantronics Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.479, "architecture_energy": 58.17, "architecture_maturity": 42.18, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.04, "rotation_up": 22.3, "upward_expansion": 9.94, "deceleration": 48.96, "rotation_down": 56.48, "downward_expansion": 80.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.536667, 4.710909, 5.161381, 5.775204 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.73, "trend_reference": 6.575, "distance_from_trend": -0.280608, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.762436, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.006811, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.665218, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.407268, "excess_performance": -0.414668, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.280608, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063168, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.006811, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.397784, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.256652, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.13225, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.407268, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.423116, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 91281300, "relative_activity": 0.791259, "balance": 0.423116, "dry_up": 1.025063, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.144088, "annualized_volatility": 0.535569, "from_high_reference": -0.519309, "from_low_reference": 0.215938 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.575, "fair_value_reference": 4.762436, "structural_low": 3.89, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.029497, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": 0.043554, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.346021, "worst_return": -0.302872, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.241543, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.079149, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.490028, "worst_return": -0.089474, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.352725, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.292582, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.491468, "worst_return": 0.237598, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.395762, "energy": 59.597075, "activity_lines": [ 4.920667, 5.027091, 5.631571, 6.213204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.16, "volume": 112571755, "typical_volume": 138086601.5, "trend": 6.710667, "fair_value": 4.747372, "relative_strength": -32.860959, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.967703, "energy": 62.92276, "activity_lines": [ 4.658, 4.839818, 5.427286, 6.043376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.46, "volume": 128865300, "typical_volume": 123546696.3, "trend": 6.636, "fair_value": 4.753782, "relative_strength": -26.556503, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.225517, "energy": 61.492154, "activity_lines": [ 4.543333, 4.738545, 5.271619, 5.898172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.73, "volume": 91281300, "typical_volume": 115362088.6, "trend": 6.575, "fair_value": 4.762436, "relative_strength": -25.665218, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.479367, "energy": 58.170078, "activity_lines": [ 4.536667, 4.710909, 5.161381, 5.775204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }