{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "51f43bc5-6354-4819-9367-fb5c48de739b",
    "symbol": "1717",
    "name": "Eternal Materials Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 50.405,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -14.536,
    "architecture_energy": 31.758,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.514,
    "architecture_confidence": 49.856,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.28,
        "rotation_up": 20.17,
        "upward_expansion": 22.53,
        "deceleration": 50.61,
        "rotation_down": 53.01,
        "downward_expansion": 45.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        65.859999,
        67.619168,
        71.288483,
        71.062025
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 71.699997,
    "trend_reference": 69.515622,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.031423,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 37.365429,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.918886,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.413446,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.342322,
    "excess_performance": -0.09905,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031423,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.15848,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.918886,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.405213,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064134,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.295371,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.342322,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.760366,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 134209355,
      "relative_activity": 0.823992,
      "balance": 0.760366,
      "dry_up": 0.435369,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.137999,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.65442,
      "from_high_reference": -0.202447,
      "from_low_reference": 1.557028
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 69.515622,
      "fair_value_reference": 37.365429,
      "structural_low": 52.799999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.00088,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00969,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.046448,
        "worst_return": -0.050336,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.016467,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030945,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.0,
        "worst_return": -0.075163,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.003419,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.065207,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.008197,
        "worst_return": -0.058823,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.009447,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.088622,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.433774,
        "worst_return": -0.058787,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.034884,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011966,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.157025,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.059701,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.037277,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.010067,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.014084,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.118243,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.118534,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.01297,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.060766,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-07-10",
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        "return": 0.866331,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "return": -0.071318,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "color": "orange",
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        "return": 0.083082,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "energy": 21.558584,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 59.900002,
        "volume": 65254367,
        "typical_volume": 171508819.85,
        "trend": 67.991219,
        "fair_value": 36.84662,
        "relative_strength": -16.216552,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -31.156445,
        "energy": 47.560083,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 66.199997,
        "volume": 38036036,
        "typical_volume": 162502138.4,
        "trend": 68.817259,
        "fair_value": 37.08604,
        "relative_strength": -10.075538,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.971566,
        "energy": 46.429733,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.6,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 71.699997,
        "volume": 134209355,
        "typical_volume": 162876926.85,
        "trend": 69.515622,
        "fair_value": 37.365429,
        "relative_strength": -6.413446,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.535876,
        "energy": 31.757867,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}