{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5205cc68-c8e3-40ea-aebf-c2c5734a6c5e", "symbol": "BSRR", "name": "Sierra Bancorp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.604, "architecture_energy": 39.017, "architecture_maturity": 61.673, "architecture_confidence": 70.735, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.51, "rotation_up": 47.68, "upward_expansion": 78.42, "deceleration": 66.56, "rotation_down": 25.16, "downward_expansion": 5.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.916724, 40.859733, 39.775293, 38.607893 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 40.5, "trend_reference": 37.322317, "distance_from_trend": 0.085142, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.00835, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.499536, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.256538, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.084514, "excess_performance": -0.102939, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.085142, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089047, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.499536, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017679, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.042565, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028372, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.084514, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.054426, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 288768, "relative_activity": 1.004483, "balance": 1.054426, "dry_up": 1.264806, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061114, "annualized_volatility": 0.211063, "from_high_reference": -0.054592, "from_low_reference": 0.56445 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.322317, "fair_value_reference": 27.00835, "structural_low": 31.129049, 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35.970553, "fair_value": 26.269826, "relative_strength": 7.859785, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.031061, "energy": 58.572229, "activity_lines": [ 40.489382, 39.634145, 38.022888, 37.146339 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 40.807211, "volume": 184713, "typical_volume": 273413.25, "trend": 36.21087, "fair_value": 26.432604, "relative_strength": 5.860722, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.385205, "energy": 51.526525, "activity_lines": [ 40.680976, 39.983117, 38.404153, 37.458382 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 41.840305, "volume": 339526, "typical_volume": 271951.45, "trend": 36.50797, "fair_value": 26.596098, "relative_strength": 12.984541, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.024545, "energy": 54.877991, "activity_lines": [ 41.10212, 40.437911, 38.866962, 37.821571 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.601899, "volume": 370587, "typical_volume": 277534.0, "trend": 36.805667, "fair_value": 26.741204, "relative_strength": 13.816454, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.399952, "energy": 49.560165, "activity_lines": [ 41.366443, 40.779172, 39.277925, 38.150212 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.489336, "volume": 455541, "typical_volume": 288222.8, "trend": 37.089611, "fair_value": 26.873612, "relative_strength": 9.824861, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.854424, "energy": 43.644083, "activity_lines": [ 41.120451, 40.839386, 39.54457, 38.387868 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.5, "volume": 288768, "typical_volume": 287479.25, "trend": 37.322317, "fair_value": 27.00835, "relative_strength": 4.256538, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.603939, "energy": 39.016885, "activity_lines": [ 40.916724, 40.859733, 39.775293, 38.607893 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }