{ "ticker": { "uuid": "520d8217-ff5f-48b8-b05d-342218043c56", "symbol": "8028", "name": "Phoenix Silicon International Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 84.25, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 7.702, "architecture_energy": 17.692, "architecture_maturity": 67.559, "architecture_confidence": 77.686, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.72, "rotation_up": 18.83, "upward_expansion": 47.79, "deceleration": 84.76, "rotation_down": 42.41, "downward_expansion": 30.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 265.466667, 282.990909, 286.445115, 267.389751 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 263.0, "trend_reference": 240.140925, "distance_from_trend": 0.09519, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 132.610475, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.983252, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.057907, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.627966, "excess_performance": 0.186594, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.09519, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.215829, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.983252, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.552411, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.060579, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.223824, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.627966, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.254897, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17375028, "relative_activity": 0.357019, "balance": 2.254897, "dry_up": 0.376049, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.177316, "annualized_volatility": 0.761656, "from_high_reference": -0.27299, "from_low_reference": 0.944019 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 240.140925, "fair_value_reference": 132.610475, "structural_low": 157.091225, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.031667, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.006192, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.258912, "worst_return": -0.169154, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.013006, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.038809, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.381583, "worst_return": -0.051396, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.091717, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.173503, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.896774, "worst_return": -0.058576, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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228.263165, "fair_value": 127.281246, "relative_strength": 20.989689, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.692406, "energy": 40.372082, "activity_lines": [ 314.066667, 313.800004, 285.104343, 259.105185 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 300.5, "volume": 31072406, "typical_volume": 55949482.3, "trend": 232.861754, "fair_value": 128.820172, "relative_strength": 12.445746, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.71525, "energy": 36.670658, "activity_lines": [ 310.3, 311.910451, 289.432628, 263.765626 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 245.0, "volume": 9620788, "typical_volume": 54672394.75, "trend": 235.329527, "fair_value": 130.020717, "relative_strength": -7.202287, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.964383, "energy": 15.451614, "activity_lines": [ 288.766667, 299.647165, 287.874892, 264.548739 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 254.0, "volume": 15136360, "typical_volume": 52008884.35, "trend": 237.634782, "fair_value": 131.274158, "relative_strength": -6.141026, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.019931, "energy": 17.735755, "activity_lines": [ 272.933333, 289.863641, 286.899632, 265.753286 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 263.0, "volume": 17375028, "typical_volume": 48666915.2, "trend": 240.140925, "fair_value": 132.610475, "relative_strength": -6.057907, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.702386, "energy": 17.692396, "activity_lines": [ 265.466667, 282.990909, 286.445115, 267.389751 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }