{ "ticker": { "uuid": "521951fb-4c8b-4863-a824-2ec1446e432b", "symbol": "300411", "name": "Zhejiang Jindun Fans Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.92, "architecture_energy": 54.846, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.71, "rotation_up": 22.16, "upward_expansion": 8.9, "deceleration": 57.6, "rotation_down": 58.01, "downward_expansion": 82.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.003333, 7.240364, 8.149524, 8.851785 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.37, "trend_reference": 9.809667, "distance_from_trend": -0.2487, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.026474, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.331609, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.908148, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.355769, "excess_performance": -0.363169, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.2487, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120735, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.331609, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.293716, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.359081, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056885, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.355769, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.385491, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 48553237, "relative_activity": 1.509319, "balance": 0.385491, "dry_up": 1.339697, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.153742, "annualized_volatility": 0.704882, "from_high_reference": -0.512888, "from_low_reference": 0.19063 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.809667, "fair_value_reference": 11.026474, "structural_low": 6.19, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.001399, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": -0.014245, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 1.60274, "worst_return": -0.189342, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.028015, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.028741, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.686888, "worst_return": -0.154733, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.086888, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.007453, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.925636, "worst_return": -0.274074, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 30493286.25, "trend": 10.095667, "fair_value": 11.018526, "relative_strength": -43.433924, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.253767, "energy": 88.341068, "activity_lines": [ 6.725333, 7.483273, 8.507095, 9.208946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.14, "volume": 44802186, "typical_volume": 31023252.55, "trend": 9.950333, "fair_value": 11.021538, "relative_strength": -35.675612, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.206961, "energy": 71.159303, "activity_lines": [ 6.837333, 7.315818, 8.307667, 9.018258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.37, "volume": 48553237, "typical_volume": 32168970.05, "trend": 9.809667, "fair_value": 11.026474, "relative_strength": -35.908148, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.919878, "energy": 54.845708, "activity_lines": [ 7.003333, 7.240364, 8.149524, 8.851785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }