{ "ticker": { "uuid": "521fd457-f8c5-4988-873b-f9fab1392b42", "symbol": "IGD", "name": "Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A.", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 55.796, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.412, "architecture_energy": 8.512, "architecture_maturity": 37.495, "architecture_confidence": 74.696, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 67.8, "rotation_up": 19.1, "upward_expansion": 44.57, "deceleration": 85.72, "rotation_down": 27.94, "downward_expansion": 24.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.128, 4.157545, 4.196149, 4.135626 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 4.08, "trend_reference": 4.007216, "distance_from_trend": 0.018163, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.706077, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.507717, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.256429, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.155438, "excess_performance": -0.015453, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.018163, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076413, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.507717, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148646, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.052564, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.149513, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.155438, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.81617, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 595614, "relative_activity": 1.82771, "balance": 0.81617, "dry_up": 1.083616, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057975, "annualized_volatility": 0.331221, "from_high_reference": -0.112078, "from_low_reference": 0.33404 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.007216, "fair_value_reference": 2.706077, "structural_low": 3.478063, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.523898, "energy": 20.42242, "activity_lines": [ 4.182667, 4.244273, 4.195027, 4.085051 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.145, "volume": 197430, "typical_volume": 437778.3, "trend": 3.924329, "fair_value": 2.670534, "relative_strength": -0.083588, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.585895, "energy": 20.713025, "activity_lines": [ 4.152667, 4.223091, 4.197234, 4.101179 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.12, "volume": 341605, "typical_volume": 398313.35, "trend": 3.953606, "fair_value": 2.681848, "relative_strength": -0.650187, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.57503, "energy": 18.765146, "activity_lines": [ 4.132, 4.198727, 4.197375, 4.113803 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.195, "volume": 277865, "typical_volume": 334909.45, "trend": 3.983131, "fair_value": 2.694272, "relative_strength": 0.317464, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.229749, "energy": 12.435954, "activity_lines": [ 4.148, 4.186727, 4.203118, 4.129377 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.08, "volume": 595614, "typical_volume": 325879.85, "trend": 4.007216, "fair_value": 2.706077, "relative_strength": -5.256429, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.412013, "energy": 8.512163, "activity_lines": [ 4.128, 4.157545, 4.196149, 4.135626 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }