{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5242449f-6ea0-4da3-9d3f-fe625c40dd88",
    "symbol": "ZEQ",
    "name": "BMO MSCI Europe High Quality Hedged to CAD Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 67.225,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.711,
    "architecture_energy": 69.473,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.129,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.677,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.9,
        "rotation_up": 59.71,
        "upward_expansion": 84.79,
        "deceleration": 52.07,
        "rotation_down": 20.89,
        "downward_expansion": 13.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        32.726,
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        32.041762,
        31.704136
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 33.34,
    "trend_reference": 31.459995,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.059759,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.503652,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.13003,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.91055,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.051819,
    "excess_performance": -0.068602,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059759,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020788,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13003,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064186,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039105,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051511,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051819,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.843568,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 30100,
      "relative_activity": 1.127975,
      "balance": 0.843568,
      "dry_up": 1.270377,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019231,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.15711,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.177328
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.459995,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.503652,
      "structural_low": 28.820402,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": -0.001745,
        "positive_rate": 0.464286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.464286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001195,
        "regime_survival": 0.678571,
        "best_return": 0.08006,
        "worst_return": -0.089661,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.013859,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029799,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.068638,
        "worst_return": -0.09875,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
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        "regime_survival": 0.375,
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        "worst_return": -0.138385,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.100245,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "trend": 30.688938,
        "fair_value": 29.010977,
        "relative_strength": -9.35993,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.159871,
        "energy": 20.391254,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.948666,
          30.610992,
          30.89282,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 30.63476,
        "volume": 22900,
        "typical_volume": 39905.0,
        "trend": 30.69265,
        "fair_value": 29.034141,
        "relative_strength": -9.981021,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.080525,
        "energy": 20.717094,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.96692,
          30.589047,
          30.8612,
          30.827075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 30.973375,
        "volume": 44800,
        "typical_volume": 40065.0,
        "trend": 30.726981,
        "fair_value": 29.059952,
        "relative_strength": -9.061624,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.831204,
        "energy": 17.734495,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.983061,
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          30.860167,
          30.845187
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 30.684555,
        "volume": 23600,
        "typical_volume": 39095.0,
        "trend": 30.736319,
        "fair_value": 29.082068,
        "relative_strength": -8.825616,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 2.306702,
        "energy": 4.298324,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.860037,
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          30.842449
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 31.451422,
        "volume": 9400,
        "typical_volume": 38845.0,
        "trend": 30.769567,
        "fair_value": 29.111359,
        "relative_strength": -7.855825,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.817393,
        "energy": 18.521656,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.013665,
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          30.870878,
          30.888585
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 31.431501,
        "volume": 58100,
        "typical_volume": 39265.0,
        "trend": 30.819335,
        "fair_value": 29.140642,
        "relative_strength": -8.276798,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.183171,
        "energy": 22.166003,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.173225,
          31.049208,
          30.907422,
          30.93129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 31.132725,
        "volume": 3700,
        "typical_volume": 37910.0,
        "trend": 30.869056,
        "fair_value": 29.169317,
        "relative_strength": -7.78489,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.341023,
        "energy": 21.241652,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.205759,
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          30.916635,
          30.951509
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 31.710363,
        "volume": 2500,
        "typical_volume": 35235.0,
        "trend": 30.925475,
        "fair_value": 29.198901,
        "relative_strength": -7.091423,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.61965,
        "energy": 41.079525,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.397641,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 32.039017,
        "volume": 900,
        "typical_volume": 32140.0,
        "trend": 30.999458,
        "fair_value": 29.23511,
        "relative_strength": -5.872694,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.300018,
        "energy": 56.735327,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.649942,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 32.287998,
        "volume": 3500,
        "typical_volume": 30770.0,
        "trend": 31.069184,
        "fair_value": 29.269449,
        "relative_strength": -4.840847,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.198824,
        "energy": 64.177344,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.89494,
          31.57522,
          31.199908,
          31.16076
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 33.110001,
        "volume": 4200,
        "typical_volume": 29305.0,
        "trend": 31.1597,
        "fair_value": 29.31552,
        "relative_strength": -2.882745,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.116927,
        "energy": 79.795767,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.358167,
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          31.393015,
          31.292426
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 32.369999,
        "volume": 43700,
        "typical_volume": 28665.0,
        "trend": 31.229185,
        "fair_value": 29.35218,
        "relative_strength": -4.877664,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.956479,
        "energy": 73.263059,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.462826,
          32.047557,
          31.509156,
          31.370509
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 32.169998,
        "volume": 25600,
        "typical_volume": 28590.0,
        "trend": 31.286716,
        "fair_value": 29.386121,
        "relative_strength": -5.065276,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.425578,
        "energy": 70.135815,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.418333,
          32.12954,
          31.606698,
          31.431207
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 32.200001,
        "volume": 26100,
        "typical_volume": 26955.0,
        "trend": 31.338638,
        "fair_value": 29.419298,
        "relative_strength": -4.961301,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.170782,
        "energy": 62.423729,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.3532,
          32.19522,
          31.707928,
          31.490129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 32.720001,
        "volume": 53800,
        "typical_volume": 28015.0,
        "trend": 31.404248,
        "fair_value": 29.460236,
        "relative_strength": -2.818115,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.846776,
        "energy": 48.335816,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.450667,
          32.327893,
          31.851216,
          31.579249
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 33.34,
        "volume": 30100,
        "typical_volume": 26685.0,
        "trend": 31.459995,
        "fair_value": 29.503652,
        "relative_strength": -3.91055,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.710974,
        "energy": 69.473097,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.726,
          32.550227,
          32.041762,
          31.704136
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}