{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5242d0b9-47c4-4e4f-aef9-b141671bb04b", "symbol": "301126", "name": "Hunan Dajiaweikang Pharmaceutical Industry Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.352, "architecture_energy": 47.722, "architecture_maturity": 81.817, "architecture_confidence": 87.191, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.08, "rotation_up": 26.45, "upward_expansion": 7.51, "deceleration": 60.95, "rotation_down": 47.35, "downward_expansion": 78.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.991333, 9.009818, 9.679762, 10.241548 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.58, "trend_reference": 11.059, "distance_from_trend": -0.133737, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.136735, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.139784, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.469821, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.21411, "excess_performance": -0.22151, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.133737, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095197, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.139784, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.195091, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.204698, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023954, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.21411, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.391611, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21117500, "relative_activity": 1.154644, "balance": 0.391611, "dry_up": 1.701778, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094829, "annualized_volatility": 0.376299, "from_high_reference": -0.35541, "from_low_reference": 0.252288 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.059, "fair_value_reference": 11.136735, "structural_low": 7.65, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.000316, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.030945, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.085746, "worst_return": -0.230704, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.026124, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.064781, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.343445, "worst_return": -0.243061, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.05157, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.146646, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.194612, "worst_return": -0.170473, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.87189, "energy": 87.47719, "activity_lines": [ 9.191333, 9.818545, 10.533238, 11.057292 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 8.99, "volume": 17265613, "typical_volume": 15913939.55, "trend": 11.566933, "fair_value": 11.243916, "relative_strength": -31.929467, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.07744, "energy": 86.803833, "activity_lines": [ 9.062667, 9.559273, 10.33419, 10.881286 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.99, "volume": 44090753, "typical_volume": 17312734.6, "trend": 11.475, "fair_value": 11.216781, "relative_strength": -24.592625, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.32851, "energy": 71.881658, "activity_lines": [ 9.005333, 9.352727, 10.151857, 10.715032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.0, "volume": 33322116, "typical_volume": 17754770.55, "trend": 11.294667, "fair_value": 11.183427, "relative_strength": -32.489838, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.145092, "energy": 68.929519, "activity_lines": [ 8.666667, 9.022727, 9.893762, 10.490839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.0, "volume": 25966107, "typical_volume": 18142371.55, "trend": 11.149333, "fair_value": 11.157937, "relative_strength": -22.266053, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.75263, "energy": 57.818581, "activity_lines": [ 8.745333, 8.942, 9.751667, 10.342796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.58, "volume": 21117500, "typical_volume": 18289179.65, "trend": 11.059, "fair_value": 11.136735, "relative_strength": -20.469821, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.35236, "energy": 47.721936, "activity_lines": [ 8.991333, 9.009818, 9.679762, 10.241548 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }