{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "52542339-8230-437e-9166-056d8826d7fb",
    "symbol": "ALGAE",
    "name": "FERMENTALG",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 69.91,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -13.634,
    "architecture_energy": 25.714,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.58,
    "architecture_confidence": 42.938,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.82,
        "rotation_up": 20.94,
        "upward_expansion": 19.24,
        "deceleration": 54.54,
        "rotation_down": 43.59,
        "downward_expansion": 41.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.476833,
        0.4814,
        0.495098,
        0.493782
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.4795,
    "trend_reference": 0.487767,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.016948,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.459891,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.042638,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.951233,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.138955,
    "excess_performance": 0.085643,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016948,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033806,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042638,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.145227,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069512,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.217468,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.138955,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.441365,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 146961,
      "relative_activity": 0.162737,
      "balance": 0.441365,
      "dry_up": 0.546245,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.072351,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.44706,
      "from_high_reference": -0.250781,
      "from_low_reference": 0.19875
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.487767,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.459891,
      "structural_low": 0.4,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.057016,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.059381,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.063786,
        "worst_return": -0.228455,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.101655,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.118112,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.068053,
        "worst_return": -0.344186,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.298527,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.290971,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.1862,
        "worst_return": -0.410853,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.231494,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.27755,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.061437,
        "worst_return": -0.40155,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.033058,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002564,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.028646,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.18797,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.287926,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.149826,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.00189,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013359,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.110558,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.073547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.141199,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.12892,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.037149,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1042047.1,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.471,
        "volume": 449813,
        "typical_volume": 1044551.4,
        "trend": 0.4852,
        "fair_value": 0.461676,
        "relative_strength": -5.499803,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 6.564811,
        "energy": 6.004653,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.461,
        "volume": 596962,
        "typical_volume": 1050729.8,
        "trend": 0.486217,
        "fair_value": 0.460721,
        "relative_strength": -8.697459,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -24.588474,
        "energy": 22.241508,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.478833,
          0.482355,
          0.497619,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.4795,
        "volume": 146961,
        "typical_volume": 903057.85,
        "trend": 0.487767,
        "fair_value": 0.459891,
        "relative_strength": -6.951233,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -13.634084,
        "energy": 25.714261,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}