{ "ticker": { "uuid": "527da4f1-aedf-47ea-b1cc-0d27cc0f9b48", "symbol": "FBIN", "name": "Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 34.167, "architecture_energy": 36.891, "architecture_maturity": 27.013, "architecture_confidence": 51.554, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.18, "rotation_up": 57.17, "upward_expansion": 51.62, "deceleration": 43.04, "rotation_down": 23.26, "downward_expansion": 12.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.617333, 49.704545, 45.801294, 44.977215 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 50.78, "trend_reference": 46.037194, "distance_from_trend": 0.103021, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 60.910006, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.166311, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.513906, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.169355, "excess_performance": -0.29498, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.103021, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018258, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.166311, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.230958, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.075139, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.261448, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.169355, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.503761, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16945336, "relative_activity": 1.310489, "balance": 1.503761, "dry_up": 0.926821, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096399, "annualized_volatility": 0.561423, "from_high_reference": -0.207659, "from_low_reference": 0.581035 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.037194, "fair_value_reference": 60.910006, "structural_low": 32.118201, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.000743, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.021836, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.104185, "worst_return": -0.101668, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.113936, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.109939, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.155497, "worst_return": -0.284804, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.107807, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.210908, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.192224, "worst_return": -0.374432, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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65.018778, "activity_lines": [ 50.511333, 46.899351, 43.449486, 44.172462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 51.27, "volume": 9354356, "typical_volume": 13288145.15, "trend": 46.296388, "fair_value": 61.138018, "relative_strength": -3.443807, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.557319, "energy": 64.441627, "activity_lines": [ 51.292, 48.264, 44.34168, 44.494406 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.26, "volume": 11922992, "typical_volume": 13144542.2, "trend": 46.260067, "fair_value": 61.02265, "relative_strength": -7.667713, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.229592, "energy": 46.730589, "activity_lines": [ 50.811333, 48.951636, 45.014335, 44.685606 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.78, "volume": 16945336, "typical_volume": 12930540.9, "trend": 46.037194, "fair_value": 60.910006, "relative_strength": -7.513906, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.166675, "energy": 36.890535, "activity_lines": [ 50.617333, 49.704545, 45.801294, 44.977215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }