{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "52a4c5ae-af5b-4bfb-87a9-b6000635c4e5",
    "symbol": "IGAF",
    "name": "IA Clarington Loomis Global Allocation Fund ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 65.822,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.036,
    "architecture_energy": 52.485,
    "architecture_maturity": 67.394,
    "architecture_confidence": 50.994,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.09,
        "rotation_up": 48.3,
        "upward_expansion": 74.49,
        "deceleration": 70.17,
        "rotation_down": 27.92,
        "downward_expansion": 12.49
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        17.912667,
        17.881818,
        17.686143,
        17.446344
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 18.219999,
    "trend_reference": 17.196,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.059549,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 15.161603,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.20172,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.946108,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.09561,
    "excess_performance": -0.024811,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059549,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025036,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.20172,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019205,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039461,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01432,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09561,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.124352,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 400,
      "relative_activity": 0.09697,
      "balance": 1.124352,
      "dry_up": 0.684848,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017479,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.103507,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001644,
      "from_low_reference": 0.160509
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 17.196,
      "fair_value_reference": 15.161603,
      "structural_low": 15.97,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": 0.012103,
        "positive_rate": 0.642857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.642857,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001149,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.04921,
        "worst_return": -0.037764,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.031669,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003019,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.09447,
        "worst_return": -0.012995,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.058234,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019556,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.122161,
        "worst_return": -0.044852,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.090367,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.063745,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.239624,
        "worst_return": -0.164437,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2023-11-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010408,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.082612,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.021536,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016828,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015363,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.067043,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.032558,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.025625,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-08-29",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "return": -0.045535,
        "active": false
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      {
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    ],
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 17.370001,
        "volume": 10300,
        "typical_volume": 6055.0,
        "trend": 16.702,
        "fair_value": 14.689038,
        "relative_strength": -5.378089,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.331958,
        "energy": 75.978222,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.242,
          16.953637,
          16.826571,
          16.776796
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 17.190001,
        "volume": 2700,
        "typical_volume": 6005.0,
        "trend": 16.728667,
        "fair_value": 14.723846,
        "relative_strength": -5.405988,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.184809,
        "energy": 68.38256,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.240667,
          17.036182,
          16.863857,
          16.80828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 17.33,
        "volume": 9500,
        "typical_volume": 6415.0,
        "trend": 16.750667,
        "fair_value": 14.759744,
        "relative_strength": -6.122779,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.852399,
        "energy": 57.591587,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.272667,
          17.131273,
          16.911333,
          16.847075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 17.4,
        "volume": 6400,
        "typical_volume": 6655.0,
        "trend": 16.776,
        "fair_value": 14.795449,
        "relative_strength": -6.284391,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.029209,
        "energy": 51.493838,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.318,
          17.219818,
          16.962143,
          16.888968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 17.66,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 6305.0,
        "trend": 16.815667,
        "fair_value": 14.8325,
        "relative_strength": -3.696829,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.446145,
        "energy": 61.498265,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.442667,
          17.332728,
          17.036762,
          16.946
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 17.57,
        "volume": 9000,
        "typical_volume": 5850.0,
        "trend": 16.853333,
        "fair_value": 14.867756,
        "relative_strength": -5.404015,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.727075,
        "energy": 58.114847,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.502667,
          17.398546,
          17.100953,
          16.994667
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 17.92,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 5485.0,
        "trend": 16.908,
        "fair_value": 14.906538,
        "relative_strength": -3.409854,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.734512,
        "energy": 74.776311,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.666,
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          17.196143,
          17.063484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 17.75,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 5060.0,
        "trend": 16.947333,
        "fair_value": 14.94359,
        "relative_strength": -4.122767,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.905813,
        "energy": 73.251716,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.724,
          17.571818,
          17.269857,
          17.117807
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 18.030001,
        "volume": 1600,
        "typical_volume": 5000.0,
        "trend": 16.995,
        "fair_value": 14.982628,
        "relative_strength": -3.127335,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.824343,
        "energy": 80.327842,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.847334,
          17.675091,
          17.364905,
          17.187656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 18.030001,
        "volume": 700,
        "typical_volume": 4850.0,
        "trend": 17.043667,
        "fair_value": 15.019231,
        "relative_strength": -3.05005,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.890329,
        "energy": 83.91756,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.928667,
          17.764909,
          17.453381,
          17.25443
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 17.73,
        "volume": 4300,
        "typical_volume": 4590.0,
        "trend": 17.086,
        "fair_value": 15.054103,
        "relative_strength": -4.309913,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.589153,
        "energy": 65.919883,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.885334,
          17.784,
          17.507953,
          17.29871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 17.66,
        "volume": 2800,
        "typical_volume": 4355.0,
        "trend": 17.123667,
        "fair_value": 15.087821,
        "relative_strength": -4.724921,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.961138,
        "energy": 49.087878,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.808,
          17.783818,
          17.551905,
          17.335742
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 17.780001,
        "volume": 3800,
        "typical_volume": 4200.0,
        "trend": 17.162,
        "fair_value": 15.123397,
        "relative_strength": -3.419012,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.720316,
        "energy": 38.542431,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.788001,
          17.79691,
          17.601667,
          17.378086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.219999,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 4125.0,
        "trend": 17.196,
        "fair_value": 15.161603,
        "relative_strength": -3.946108,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.03594,
        "energy": 52.484622,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.912667,
          17.881818,
          17.686143,
          17.446344
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}