{ "ticker": { "uuid": "52a69e98-2bfd-4820-aa32-28c1da7c45f7", "symbol": "AMPY", "name": "Amplify Energy Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.445, "architecture_energy": 67.128, "architecture_maturity": 46.33, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.23, "rotation_up": 28.53, "upward_expansion": 15.55, "deceleration": 42.49, "rotation_down": 54.02, "downward_expansion": 91.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.962, 3.989636, 4.378571, 4.753935 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 4.03, "trend_reference": 5.079667, "distance_from_trend": -0.206641, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.466667, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.262805, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.687629, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.222008, "excess_performance": -0.347633, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.206641, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063598, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.262805, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192401, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.276876, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.282421, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.222008, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.153048, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2912677, "relative_activity": 0.762546, "balance": 0.153048, "dry_up": 0.765715, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096158, "annualized_volatility": 0.439692, "from_high_reference": -0.40648, "from_low_reference": 0.159712 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.079667, "fair_value_reference": 5.466667, "structural_low": 3.65, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.006993, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.044048, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.209205, "worst_return": -0.380829, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.007304, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.060868, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.728707, "worst_return": -0.343257, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.014377, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.071964, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.971609, "worst_return": -0.359019, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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4.137091, 4.699048, 4.978688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.94, "volume": 3438263, "typical_volume": 4416776.75, "trend": 5.122333, "fair_value": 5.509679, "relative_strength": -26.23575, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.153648, "energy": 75.422165, "activity_lines": [ 3.948, 4.062, 4.579286, 4.901075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.91, "volume": 2660621, "typical_volume": 4029216.55, "trend": 5.098333, "fair_value": 5.486923, "relative_strength": -27.462011, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.530524, "energy": 69.719101, "activity_lines": [ 3.934, 4.004909, 4.466952, 4.82286 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.03, "volume": 2912677, "typical_volume": 3819673.95, "trend": 5.079667, "fair_value": 5.466667, "relative_strength": -27.687629, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.445341, "energy": 67.128104, "activity_lines": [ 3.962, 3.989636, 4.378571, 4.753935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }