{ "ticker": { "uuid": "52acd1d8-1fe2-4a21-b01d-519cda05070b", "symbol": "605066", "name": "Zhejiang Tengen Electrics Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.504, "architecture_energy": 43.658, "architecture_maturity": 29.612, "architecture_confidence": 91.218, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.15, "rotation_up": 20.27, "upward_expansion": 5.92, "deceleration": 49.55, "rotation_down": 52.46, "downward_expansion": 76.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.441333, 6.537636, 6.875616, 7.190602 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.66, "trend_reference": 7.554914, "distance_from_trend": -0.118455, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.918239, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.037327, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.008502, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.169434, "excess_performance": -0.12623, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.118455, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03378, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.037327, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.158806, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.110085, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048453, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.169434, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.0923, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30494876, "relative_activity": 0.618354, "balance": 1.0923, "dry_up": 0.747853, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103618, "annualized_volatility": 0.397547, "from_high_reference": -0.264537, "from_low_reference": 0.134583 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.554914, "fair_value_reference": 6.918239, "structural_low": 5.87, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.001659, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.012851, "regime_survival": 0.863636, "best_return": 0.124267, "worst_return": -0.188645, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.024837, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.032931, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.18102, "worst_return": -0.194742, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.040509, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.04592, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.234613, "worst_return": -0.205472, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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6.581333, 6.751627, 7.147616, 7.419145 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.14, "volume": 39700935, "typical_volume": 57438080.95, "trend": 7.602118, "fair_value": 6.938586, "relative_strength": -15.931935, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.471922, "energy": 61.882402, "activity_lines": [ 6.386, 6.607398, 7.017797, 7.322558 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.47, "volume": 27525931, "typical_volume": 51916078.3, "trend": 7.573209, "fair_value": 6.926388, "relative_strength": -11.460722, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.218936, "energy": 59.171096, "activity_lines": [ 6.372667, 6.547091, 6.932537, 7.249518 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.66, "volume": 30494876, "typical_volume": 49316236.6, "trend": 7.554914, "fair_value": 6.918239, "relative_strength": -11.008502, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.504287, "energy": 43.657699, "activity_lines": [ 6.441333, 6.537636, 6.875616, 7.190602 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }